The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 63.8%
Draw 5.2%
North Queensland Cowboys 31%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
63.8%
4.3%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
3.2%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
North Queensland Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-16.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Queensland Cowboys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks - North Queensland Cowboys Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:21
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kennedy W.
1. Drinkwater S.
2. Katoa S.
2. Burns B.
3. Jones R.
3. Purdue J.
4. Iro K.
4. Chester T.
5. Mulitalo R.
5. Laybutt Z.
6. Trindall B.
6. Clifford J.
7. Hynes N.
7. Dearden T. (C)
8. Fonua-Blake A.
8. Neame G.
9. Brailey B. (C)
9. Mahoney R.
10. Colquhoun J.
10. Taumalolo J.
11. Nikora B.
11. Luki H.
12. Wilton T.
13. Cotter R.
13. McInnes C.
15. Bateman J.
Substitutes
14. Talakai S.
12. Nanai J.
15. Burns B.
14. Luke S.
16. Kaufusi O.
17. Hess C.
17. Hazelton T.
18. Lahrs K.
19. Rudolf T.
19. King E.
20. Puru N.
21. McIntyre S.
Coaches
. Fitzgibbon C.
. Payten T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (12 - 6)
6', Hynes N. (Penalty Goal),
20', Talakai S. (Try),
20', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
27', Burns B. (Try),
28', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
32', Katoa S. (Try),
34', Hynes N. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (14 - 10)
49', Katoa S. (Try),
51', Hynes N. (Missed Conversion),
57', Laybutt Z. (Try),
58', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
61', Kennedy W. (Try),
63', Hynes N. (Missed Conversion),
66', Hynes N. (Try),
67', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
72', Purdue J. (Try),
73', Drinkwater S. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cronulla-Sutherland won 3.
Cronulla-Sutherland has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
North Queensland has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Cronulla-Sutherland is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cronulla-Sutherland won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 592:345. (average 29.6:17.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Cronulla-Sutherland won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 308:141. (average 30.8:14.1).
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Kennedy W. 
Drinkwater S. 
Katoa S. 
Iro K. 
Fonua-Blake A. 
Nanai J. 
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