Match Info
NRL - Round 23Date: 7 August 2026, FridayLocation: Go Media Stadium (Auckland)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV |
 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Premier League |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports+ |
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New Zealand Warriors |
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Penrith Panthers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.25 |
26 |
1.65 |
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 |
2.45 |
15 |
1.65 |
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2.47 |
20.24 |
1.61 |
 Watch |
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2.25 |
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1.67 |
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 |
2.34 |
20 |
1.66 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.62) |
16.25 ↓
(22.61) |
1.65 ↑
(1.54) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 40.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
New Zealand Warriors
38.9% | Draw
5.6% | Penrith Panthers
55.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Zealand Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Penrith Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (-0.2%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:22 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Nicoll-Klokstad C.
| 1.  Edgar J.
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2. Watene-Zelezniak D.
| 2. Jenkins T.
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3. Leiataua A.
| 3. Alamoti P.
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4.  Halasima L.
| 4.  Tago I.
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5. Khan-Pereira A.
| 5. To'o B.
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6. Harris-Tavita C.
| 7. Cleary N.
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8. Fisher-Harris J.
| 8. Leota M.
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9. Egan W.
| 9. Lussick F.
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10. Barnett M.
| 10. Smith L.
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11. Capewell K.
| 11. Papali'i I.
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12. Laban J.
| 12. Martin L.
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13. Clark E.
| 13. Yeo I.
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18. Metcalf L.
| 18. Cole J.
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| Substitutes |
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14. Healey S.
| 14. Scott B.
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15. Stowers-Smith T.
| 15. Sorensen S.
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16. Vaimauga D.
| 16. Henry L.
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17. Ieremia-Toeava E.
| 17. Phillips B.
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20. Tuaupiki T.
| 19. Talagi B.
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23. Pompey A.
| 21. Patea L.
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| Coaches |
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. Webster A.
| . Cleary I.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (18 - 0)
- 5', Clark E. (Try),
- 7', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
- 12', Metcalf L. (Try),
- 14', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
- 31', Harris-Tavita C. (Try),
- 32', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (10 - 12)
- 44', Nicoll-Klokstad C. (Try),
- 45', Metcalf L. (Missed Conversion),
- 68', Cleary N. (Try),
- 69', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 71', Edgar J. (Try),
- 72', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 77', Metcalf L. (Try),
- 79', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 1.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Penrith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, New Zealand has had a series of away games. Penrith could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 312:526. (average 15.6:26.3).Including home matches between the teams, New Zealand won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 184:263. (average 16.7:23.9).
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Standings
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 2 | Penrith Panthers | 21 | 15 | 6 | 599:313 | 36 |
| 3 | New Zealand Warriors | 21 | 15 | 6 | 606:330 | 36 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 31.05.26 | Penrith Panthers - New Zealand Warriors | 20:18 | | 13.09.25 | New Zealand Warriors - Penrith Panthers | 8:24 | | 21.06.25 | New Zealand Warriors - Penrith Panthers | 18:28 | | 18.05.24 | New Zealand Warriors - Penrith Panthers | 22:20 | | 09.09.23 | Penrith Panthers - New Zealand Warriors | 32:6 | | 06.05.23 | New Zealand Warriors - Penrith Panthers | 6:18 | | 26.08.22 | Penrith Panthers - New Zealand Warriors | 46:12 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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