Match Info

NRL - Round 9

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Shark Park (Sydney)

Referee: Smith T. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ


	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks		Wests Tigers

	1	X	2
	1.5	26	2.65
	1.52	20	2.8
	1.47	22.2	2.86	Watch
	1.4	23	3
	1.51	19	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.58)	22.04 ↓ (22.86)	2.81 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
62.7%

Draw
4.2%

Wests Tigers
33.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.8%

4.1%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

3.9%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Wests Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wests Tigers than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wests Tigers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks - Wests Tigers Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Wests will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:23

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kennedy W.	1. Turuva S.
2. Hiroti M.	3. May T.
3. Talakai S.	4. To'a S.
4. Iro K.	5. Laulili'i L.
5. Stonestreet S.	6. Luai J.
6. Trindall B.	7. Doueihi A.
7. Hynes N.	8. May T.
8. Fonua-Blake A.	9. Hope T.
9. Brailey B.	10. Pole F.
10. Rudolf T.	11. Fainu S.
11. Nikora B.	12. Sukkar T.
12. Wilton T.	13. Twal A.
13. McInnes C.	19. Tavana F.
Substitutes
14. Colquhoun J.	2. Skelton J.
15. Burns B.	14. Madden J.
16. Kaufusi O.	15. Fainu S.
17. Hazelton T.	16. Hunt R.
18. Puru H.	17. Seyfarth A.
20. Jones R.	18. Fainu L.
Coaches
. Fitzgibbon C.	. Marshall B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (18 - 10)
5', Wilton T. (Try),
7', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
10', Doueihi A. (Try),
11', Laulili'i L. (Missed Conversion),
16', May T. (Try),
18', Madden J. (Conversion Goal),
20', Iro K. (Try),
22', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
34', Colquhoun J. (Try),
35', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (34 - 0)
48', Iro K. (Try),
50', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
56', Wilton T. (Try),
58', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
66', Wilton T. (Try),
67', Hynes N. (Missed Conversion),
69', Stonestreet S. (Try),
69', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
75', Hynes N. (Try),
76', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
77', Iro K. (Try),
78', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cronulla-Sutherland won 3.

Cronulla-Sutherland has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wests is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cronulla-Sutherland could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Cronulla-Sutherland won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 515:316. (average 27.1:16.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cronulla-Sutherland won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 248:138. (average 31:17.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
Australian NRL
24.04.26	North Queensland Cowboys - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	46:34 ✺
11.04.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Sydney Roosters	22:34 ✺
05.04.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - New Zealand Warriors	36:22 ✺
29.03.26	Canberra Raiders - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	22:34 ✺
21.03.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Dolphins	10:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL
- Wests Tigers
Australian NRL
23.04.26	Wests Tigers - Canberra Raiders	33:14 ✺
18.04.26	Wests Tigers - Brisbane Broncos	20:21 ✺
12.04.26	Wests Tigers - Newcastle Knights	42:22 ✺
06.04.26	Parramatta Eels - Wests Tigers	20:22 OT ✺
27.03.26	New Zealand Warriors - Wests Tigers	14:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
27.04.25	Wests Tigers - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	20:18 OT
12.07.24	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Wests Tigers	58:6
23.03.24	Wests Tigers - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	32:6
06.07.23	Wests Tigers - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	12:36
13.08.22	Wests Tigers - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	12:36
10.04.22	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Wests Tigers	30:4
21.08.21	Wests Tigers - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	20:50

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Wests Tigers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide