Match Info

NRL - Round 8

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium (Townsville)

Referee: Sharpe B. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ


	North Queensland Cowboys		Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks

	1	X	2
	1.95	23	1.87
	2.05	18	1.92
	2.06	20.13	1.85	Watch
	2	19	1.8
	1.98	26	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.02)	21.23 ↓ (23.65)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Queensland Cowboys
46%

Draw
4.4%

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
49.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.9%

3.9%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

3.7%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Queensland Cowboys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

North Queensland Cowboys - Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. North Queensland will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cronulla-Sutherland will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:27

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Drinkwater S.	1. Kennedy W.
2. Burns B.	2. Hiroti M.
3. Purdue J.	3. Talakai S.
4. Chester T.	4. Iro K.
5. Taulagi M.	5. Stonestreet S.
6. Clifford J.	6. Trindall B.
7. Dearden T. (C)	7. Hynes N.
8. Hess C.	8. Fonua-Blake A.
9. Mahoney R.	9. Brailey B. (C)
10. Taumalolo J.	10. Rudolf T.
11. Luki H.	11. Burns B.
13. Cotter R.	12. Wilton T.
16. Mikaele T.	13. Colquhoun J.
Substitutes
12. Nanai J.	14. Nikora B.
14. Luke S.	15. McInnes C.
15. McIntyre S.	16. Kaufusi O.
17. Neame G.	17. Hazelton T.
18. Lodge M.	18. Puru H.
20. Laybutt Z.	20. Jones R.
Coaches
. Payten T.	. Fitzgibbon C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (26 - 12)
4', Drinkwater S. (Try),
6', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
10', Talakai S. (Try),
11', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
12', Talakai S. (Try),
14', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
15', Taulagi M. (Try),
17', Clifford J. (Missed Conversion),
28', Taulagi M. (Try),
30', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
34', Mahoney R. (Try),
36', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
39', Burns B. (Try),
40', Clifford J. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (20 - 22)
45', Brailey B. (Try),
46', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
52', Taulagi M. (Try),
53', Clifford J. (Missed Conversion),
55', Iro K. (Try),
56', Hynes N. (Missed Conversion),
58', Iro K. (Try),
59', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
66', Luke S. (Try),
67', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
74', Dearden T. (Try),
75', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
77', Iro K. (Try),
78', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
80', Luki H. (Try),
80', Clifford J. (Missed Conversion),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 1.

North Queensland is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cronulla-Sutherland has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cronulla-Sutherland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 313:576. (average 15.7:28.8).

Including home matches between the teams, North Queensland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 158:250. (average 17.6:27.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Queensland Cowboys
Australian NRL
16.04.26	North Queensland Cowboys - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	6:38 ✺
10.04.26	Brisbane Broncos - North Queensland Cowboys	31:35 ✺
04.04.26	St. George Illawarra Dragons - North Queensland Cowboys	0:32 ✺
28.03.26	North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm	28:24 ✺
22.03.26	North Queensland Cowboys - Gold Coast Titans	30:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWWWW
- Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
Australian NRL
11.04.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Sydney Roosters	22:34 ✺
05.04.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - New Zealand Warriors	36:22 ✺
29.03.26	Canberra Raiders - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	22:34 ✺
21.03.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Dolphins	10:38 ✺
14.03.26	Penrith Panthers - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	26:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
03.08.25	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - North Queensland Cowboys	32:12
15.03.25	North Queensland Cowboys - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	12:36
20.09.24	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - North Queensland Cowboys	26:18
27.07.24	North Queensland Cowboys - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	30:22
21.04.24	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - North Queensland Cowboys	42:6
17.08.23	North Queensland Cowboys - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	12:32
27.04.23	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - North Queensland Cowboys	44:6

North Queensland Cowboys - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide