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Current Win Probability
Wests Tigers 57%
Draw 4.2%
Newcastle Knights 38.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.6%
4.2%
43.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.7%
4.6%
47.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wests Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wests Tigers than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wests Tigers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle Knights could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Wests Tigers - Newcastle Knights Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:23
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bula J.
1. Hunt F.
3. Turuva S.
2. Young D.
4. Makasini H.
3. Gagai D.
5. Skelton J.
4. De Courcey W.
6. Madden J.
5. Marzhew G.
7. Doueihi A.
6. Sharpe F.
8. May T.
7. Smith S.
9. Koroisau A. (C)
8. Saifiti J. (C)
10. Pole F.
9. Crossland P.
11. Fainu S.
10. Mooney T.
12. Pearce-Paul K.
11. Lucas D.
13. Twal A.
12. McEwen J.
19. Herbert P.
13. Croker M.
Substitutes
14. Fainu L.
14. Graham H.
15. Fainu S.
15. Frizell T.
16. Hunt R.
16. Saulo P.
17. Seyfarth A.
17. Cant T.
18. Hope T.
18. Gamble T.
21. Sukkar T.
19. Hopwood C.
Coaches
. Marshall B.
. Holbrook J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (28 - 4)
4', Turuva S. (Try),
6', Madden J. (Conversion Goal),
12', Koroisau A. (Try),
13', Madden J. (Conversion Goal),
16', Turuva S. (Try),
28', Young D. (Try),
35', Herbert P. (Try),
36', Madden J. (Conversion Goal),
39', Bula J. (Try),
40', Madden J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 18)
54:00, Turuva S. (Try),
59', Gagai D. (Try),
60', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
62', Bula J. (Try),
66', May T. (Try),
68', Madden J. (Conversion Goal),
77', Hunt F. (Try),
77', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
79', Mooney T. (Try),
79', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wests won 1.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Wests might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wests won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 390:408. (average 19.5:20.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Wests won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 190:156. (average 21.1:17.3).