Dolphins - Penrith Panthers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • NRL - Round 7
  • Date: 17 April 2026, Friday
  • Location: TIO Stadium (Darwin)
  • Referee: Gee A. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
  • australiaAustraliaFox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ
    Dolphins Penrith Panthers
    Dolphins Penrith Panthers
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 3.9 26 1.27
    betsson 3.8 25 1.32
    GGBet 4.01 25.04 1.27 Watch and Bet Watch
    Williamhill 3.75 23 1.25
    BetNow 3.7 22 1.31
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.83
    (4.31)
    24.21
    (25.25)
    1.28
    (1.25)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-14)

    • The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

    #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

    Current Win Probability

    Dolphins
    24.1%
    Draw
    3.8%
    Penrith Panthers
    72%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    21.7% 3.7% 74.7%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Penrith Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • banner

    Predictions

  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:32
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. SamoaTabuai-Fidow H.
      1. AustraliaEdwards D.
      2. NewIsaako J.
      2. AustraliaJenkins T.
      3. AustraliaAverillo J.
      3. AustraliaAlamoti P.
      4. EnglandFarnworth H.
      4. SamoaTago I.
      5. AustraliaCobbo S.
      5. SamoaTo'o B.
      6. NewNikorima K.
      6. SamoaTalagi B.
      7. TongaKatoa I. (C)
      7. AustraliaCleary N. (C)
      8. AustraliaGilbert T.
      8. NewLeota M.
      9. AustraliaPlath M.
      9. AustraliaKenny M.
    11. SamoaLemuelu C.
    10. AustraliaSmith L.
    12. AustraliaFinefeuiaki K.
    11. NewPapali'i I.
    13. EnglandKnowles M.
    12. AustraliaGarner L.
    17. SamoaMolo F.
    13. AustraliaYeo I.
    Substitutes
    10. TongaKaufusi F.
    14. AustraliaCogger J.
    14. AustraliaSchneider B.
    15. NewSorensen S.
    15. AustraliaFlegler T.
    16. NewGoing K.
    16. AustraliaStone R.
    17. AustraliaPhillips B.
    18. AustraliaKeeley O.
    18. AustraliaFonua S.
    19. AustraliaFuller T.
    19. AustraliaLussick F.
    Coaches
      . AustraliaWoolf K.
      . AustraliaCleary I.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 18)
    • 13', Edwards D. (Try),
    • 15', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
    • 20', Talagi B. (Try),
    • 22', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
    • 39', Jenkins T. (Try),
    • 40', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
    • 2nd Half (22 - 4)
    • 46', Farnworth H. (Try),
    • 47', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
    • 52', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
    • 53', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
    • 55', Cobbo S. (Try),
    • 56', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
    • 61', Averillo J. (Try),
    • 63', Katoa I. (Missed Conversion),
    • 76', Jenkins T. (Try),
    • 76', Cleary N. (Missed Conversion),
    • Extra Time (0 - 1)
    • 85', Cleary N. (Drop Goal),

    Preview

  • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
  • Dolphins has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Penrith is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Penrith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Penrith is the undeniable favorite.
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dolphins won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 70:62. (average 23.3:20.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Dolphins won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 44:36. (average 22:18).
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    Outrights of Australian NRL for now
    Penrith Panthers: 38.29% Dolphins: 16.78%

    Standings

    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Penrith Panthers24186683:34742
    3Dolphins24177662:50640

    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Dolphins NRL
    Australian NRL
    02.04.26 Dolphins - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 18:52
    27.03.26 Brisbane Broncos - Dolphins 26:12
    21.03.26 Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Dolphins 10:38
    15.03.26 Dolphins - Gold Coast Titans 18:14
    08.03.26 Dolphins - South Sydney Rabbitohs 30:40
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2
    LLWWL
    - Penrith Panthers
    Australian NRL
    09.04.26 Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Penrith Panthers 32:16
    03.04.26 Penrith Panthers - Melbourne Storm 50:10
    28.03.26 Penrith Panthers - Parramatta Eels 48:20
    20.03.26 Sydney Roosters - Penrith Panthers 4:40
    14.03.26 Penrith Panthers - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 26:6
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7
    LWWWW
    Latest Head to Head
    Australian NRL
    10.04.25 Dolphins - Penrith Panthers 30:12
    21.07.24 Penrith Panthers - Dolphins 26:26
    16.07.23 Dolphins - Penrith Panthers 14:24
    Upcoming Matches
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Dolphins NRL
    Australian NRL
    12.09.26 New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins
    - Penrith Panthers
    Australian NRL
    13.09.26 Penrith Panthers - Sydney Roosters