Match Info
NRL - Round 7Date: 17 April 2026, FridayLocation: TIO Stadium (Darwin)Referee: Gee A. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
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Dolphins |
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Penrith Panthers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.9 |
26 |
1.27 |
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3.8 |
25 |
1.32 |
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4.01 |
25.04 |
1.27 |
 Watch |
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3.75 |
23 |
1.25 |
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3.7 |
22 |
1.31 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.83 ↓
(4.31) |
24.21 ↓
(25.25) |
1.28 ↑
(1.25) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-14)
- The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dolphins
24.1% | Draw
3.8% | Penrith Panthers
72% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Penrith Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:32 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1.  Tabuai-Fidow H.
| 1.  Edwards D.
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2.  Isaako J.
| 2. Jenkins T.
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3. Averillo J.
| 3. Alamoti P.
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4.  Farnworth H.
| 4. Tago I.
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5. Cobbo S.
| 5. To'o B.
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6. Nikorima K.
| 6. Talagi B.
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7.  Katoa I. (C)
| 7. Cleary N. (C)
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8. Gilbert T.
| 8. Leota M.
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9. Plath M.
| 9. Kenny M.
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11. Lemuelu C.
| 10. Smith L.
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12. Finefeuiaki K.
| 11. Papali'i I.
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13. Knowles M.
| 12. Garner L.
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17. Molo F.
| 13. Yeo I.
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| Substitutes |
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10. Kaufusi F.
| 14. Cogger J.
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14. Schneider B.
| 15. Sorensen S.
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15. Flegler T.
| 16. Going K.
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16. Stone R.
| 17. Phillips B.
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18. Keeley O.
| 18. Fonua S.
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19. Fuller T.
| 19. Lussick F.
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| Coaches |
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. Woolf K.
| . Cleary I.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 18)
- 13', Edwards D. (Try),
- 15', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 20', Talagi B. (Try),
- 22', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 39', Jenkins T. (Try),
- 40', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (22 - 4)
- 46', Farnworth H. (Try),
- 47', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
- 53', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 55', Cobbo S. (Try),
- 56', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Averillo J. (Try),
- 63', Katoa I. (Missed Conversion),
- 76', Jenkins T. (Try),
- 76', Cleary N. (Missed Conversion),
- Extra Time (0 - 1)
- 85', Cleary N. (Drop Goal),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).Dolphins has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Penrith is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Penrith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Penrith is the undeniable favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dolphins won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 70:62. (average 23.3:20.7).Including home matches between the teams, Dolphins won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 44:36. (average 22:18).
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Standings
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penrith Panthers | 8 | 7 | 1 | 273:106 | 14 |
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| 12 | Dolphins | 7 | 2 | 5 | 156:185 | 6 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Penrith Panthers - the odds 1.25 are the expected chance of winning is 74.65%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 10.04.25 | Dolphins - Penrith Panthers | 30:12 | | 21.07.24 | Penrith Panthers - Dolphins | 26:26 | | 16.07.23 | Dolphins - Penrith Panthers | 14:24 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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