Match Info
NRL - Round 5Date: 2 April 2026, ThursdayLocation: Kayo Stadium (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | 9 HD, Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, Nine, NRL |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
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Dolphins |
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Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.32 |
26 |
3.5 |
|
 |
1.38 |
22 |
3.4 |
|
 |
1.31 |
24.75 |
3.7 |
|
 |
1.3 |
23 |
3.4 |
|
 |
1.32 |
26 |
3.54 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.36) |
24.35 ↑
(21.48) |
3.51 ↑
(3.31) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dolphins
69.8% | Draw
3.8% | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
26.4% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (+0.7%)Dolphins - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Dolphins will win (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:21 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Tabuai-Fidow H.
| 1.  Trbojevic T.
|
2.  Isaako J.
| 2. Faulalo C.
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3. Averillo J.
| 3.  Koula T.
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4.  Farnworth H.
| 4. Garrick R.
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5. Cobbo S.
| 5. Hopoate L.
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6. Nikorima K.
| 6. Brooks L.
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7. Katoa I.
| 7. Fogarty J.
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8. Gilbert T.
| 8. Paseka T.
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9. Plath M.
| 9.  Wakeham B.
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10. Kaufusi F.
| 10. Hetherington K.
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11. Lemuelu C.
| 11. Olakau'atu H.
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12. Finefeuiaki K.
| 12. Trbojevic B.
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13. Knowles M.
| 13. Trbojevic J.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
14. Schneider B.
| 14. Simpkin J.
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15. Flegler T.
| 15. Waddell C.
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16. Stone R.
| 16. Bullemor E.
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17. Molo F.
| 17. Laiafi S.
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18. Donoghoe K.
| 18. Bryan P.
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19. Fuller T.
| 19. Feledy J.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Woolf K.
| . Foran K.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 28)
- 15', Trbojevic T. (Try),
- 16', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Hopoate L. (Try),
- 19', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
- 26', Hopoate L. (Try),
- 27', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 34', Garrick R. (Try),
- 35', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 37', Brooks L. (Try),
- 39', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Fogarty J. (Missed Penalty),
- 2nd Half (18 - 24)
- 53', Fogarty J. (Penalty Goal),
- 59', Olakau'atu H. (Try),
- 60', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 63', Koula T. (Try),
- 64', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
- 66', Trbojevic B. (Try),
- 67', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Waddell C. (Try),
- 70', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 71', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
- 71', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
- 74', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 75', Farnworth H. (Try),
- 76', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 14).Dolphins has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Manly-Warringah is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Manly-Warringah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Dolphins is the team to beat.We predict that Dolphins will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dolphins won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 76:140. (average 25.3:46.7).Including home match between the teams, Dolphins won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:24.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 23.08.25 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Dolphins | 58:30 | | 09.05.24 | Dolphins - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 30:24 | | 09.06.23 | Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Dolphins | 58:16 |
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