Match Info

NRL - Round 1

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)

Referee: Gough P. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ


	Dolphins		South Sydney Rabbitohs

	1	X	2
	1.7	23	2.25
	1.8	21	2
	1.78	15	2.3
	1.78	18.18	2.18	Watch
	1.67	17	2.2
	1.75	19	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.77)	18.86 ↓ (20.12)	2.19 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dolphins
52.9%

Draw
4.9%

South Sydney Rabbitohs
42.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.5%

4.6%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

South Sydney Rabbitohs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Dolphins - South Sydney Rabbitohs Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dolphins will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). South Sydney will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. South Sydney (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:24

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tabuai-Fidow H.	1. Gray J.
2. Isaako J.	2. Johnston A.
3. Averillo J.	3. Mitchell L.
4. Farnworth H.	4. Wighton J.
5. Cobbo S.	5. Graham C.
6. Nikorima K.	6. Walker C.
7. Katoa I.	7. Ward A.
8. Gilbert T.	8. Tatola T.
10. Flegler T.	9. Garlick B.
11. Lemuelu C.	10. Koloamatangi K.
12. Finefeuiaki K.	11. Fifita D.
13. Knowles M.	12. Aitken E.
14. Schneider B.	13. Murray C.
Substitutes
15. Keeley O.	14. Mamouzelos P.
16. Kaufusi F.	15. Duncan T.
17. Fuller T.	16. Hubner L.
18. Su'a S.	17. Keppie S.
19. Woolf B.	18. Sullivan J.
20. Symonds L.	19. Graham-Taufa M.
Coaches
. Woolf K.	. Bennett W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 28)
2', Graham C. (Try),
4', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
9', Averillo J. (Try),
12', Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
14', Mitchell L. (Try),
16', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
22', Mitchell L. (Penalty Goal),
25', Finefeuiaki K. (Try),
26', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
32', Graham C. (Try),
34', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
35', Gray J. (Try),
36', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
39', Johnston A. (Try),
40', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (20 - 12)
53', Farnworth H. (Try),
54', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
55', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
57', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
64', Hubner L. (Try),
65', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
69', Mitchell L. (Try),
70', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
78', Isaako J. (Try),
79', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
80', Isaako J. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

Dolphins may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dolphins won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 114:108. (average 28.5:27).

Including home matches between the teams, Dolphins won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 100:92. (average 33.3:30.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dolphins NRL
Australian NRL
20.02.26	New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins	34:38 ✺
12.02.26	Dolphins - Gold Coast Titans	12:24 ✺
07.09.25	Dolphins - Canberra Raiders	62:24 ✺
31.08.25	Dolphins - Gold Coast Titans	36:30 ✺
23.08.25	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Dolphins	58:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWL
- South Sydney Rabbitohs
Australian NRL
22.02.26	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	30:6 ✺
14.02.26	St. George Illawarra Dragons - South Sydney Rabbitohs	24:28 ✺
05.09.25	Sydney Roosters - South Sydney Rabbitohs	36:6 ✺
21.08.25	South Sydney Rabbitohs - St. George Illawarra Dragons	40:0 ✺
16.08.25	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Parramatta Eels	20:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
28.06.25	Dolphins - South Sydney Rabbitohs	50:28
07.03.25	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Dolphins	16:14
11.07.24	Dolphins - South Sydney Rabbitohs	36:28
13.04.23	Dolphins - South Sydney Rabbitohs	14:36

Dolphins - South Sydney Rabbitohs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide