Match Info
NRL - Play Offs - 1/8-finalsDate: 12 September 2026, SaturdayLocation: Go Media Stadium (Auckland)Referee: Gee A. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV |
France | beIN Sports 1 |
Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 1 |
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New Zealand Warriors |
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Dolphins |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.7 |
26 |
2.2 |
|
 |
1.55 |
15.5 |
2.55 |
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 |
1.68 |
18 |
2.35 |
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 |
1.57 |
19 |
2.38 |
Watch |
 |
1.67 |
|
2.20 |
|
 |
1.55 |
21 |
2.6 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↑ (1.59) |
16.58 ↓ (26.33) |
2.38 ↓ (2.4) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
New Zealand Warriors 56.2% | Draw 5.5% | Dolphins 38.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Dolphins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (+4%)New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:22 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Tuaupiki T.
| 1. Tabuai-Fidow H.
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2. Nicoll-Klokstad C.
| 2. Isaako J.
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3. Leiataua A.
| 3. Bostock J.
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4. Halasima L.
| 4. Farnworth H.
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5. Khan-Pereira A.
| 5. Cobbo S.
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6. Harris-Tavita C.
| 6. Nikorima K.
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7. Martin T.
| 7. Katoa I. (C)
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8. Fisher-Harris J. (C)
| 8. Flegler T.
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9. Egan W.
| 9. Marshall-King J.
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10. Barnett M.
| 10. Gilbert T.
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11. Capewell K.
| 11. Plath M.
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12. Laban J.
| 12. Finefeuiaki K.
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13. Clark E.
| 13. Knowles M.
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| Substitutes |
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14. Healey S.
| 14. Donoghoe K.
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15. Stowers-Smith T.
| 15. Stone R.
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16. Vaimauga D.
| 16. Molo F.
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17. Ford J.
| 17. Lemuelu C.
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18. Ieremia-Toeava E.
| 19. Schneider B.
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20. Pompey A.
| 22. Naufahu T.
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| Coaches |
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. Webster A.
| . Woolf K.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (12 - 8)
- 9', Tuaupiki T. (Penalty Goal),
- 13', Isaako J. (Penalty Goal),
- 16', Tuaupiki T. (Try),
- 17', Tuaupiki T. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Tuaupiki T. (Penalty Goal),
- 26', Cobbo S. (Try),
- 28', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Tuaupiki T. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (4 - 18)
- 51', Tuaupiki T. (Penalty Goal),
- 53', Tuaupiki T. (Penalty Goal),
- 61', Farnworth H. (Try),
- 63', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 67', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
- 69', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 75', Bostock J. (Try),
- 77', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 2.In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.New Zealand may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. New Zealand will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 242:232. (average 24.2:23.2).Including home matches between the teams, New Zealand won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 160:126. (average 26.7:21).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 27.06.26 | Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors | 26:24 | | 25.04.26 | New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins | 20:18 | | 20.02.26 | New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins | 34:38 | | 01.08.25 | New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins | 18:20 | | 17.05.25 | Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors | 12:16 | | 11.08.24 | Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors | 34:32 OT | | 26.05.24 | New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins | 24:20 |
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