Match Info
NRL - Round 23Date: 8 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Sydney Football Stadium (Sydney)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital1+ |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 2 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports+ |
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South Sydney Rabbitohs |
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Parramatta Eels |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.35 |
26 |
3.3 |
|
 |
1.32 |
18 |
3.6 |
|
 |
1.31 |
24.75 |
3.7 |
 Watch |
 |
1.31 |
23 |
3.62 |
|
 |
1.32 |
24 |
3.6 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.44) |
23.15 ↓
(25.24) |
3.56 ↑
(2.93) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
South Sydney Rabbitohs
70% | Draw
4% | Parramatta Eels
26% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:South Sydney Rabbitohs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Sydney Rabbitohs's performance.Parramatta Eels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Parramatta Eels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with South Sydney Rabbitohs that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parramatta Eels than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Parramatta Eels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.South Sydney Rabbitohs - Parramatta Eels Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:20 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Dufty M.
| 1. Iongi I.
|
2.  Johnston A.
| 2. Kelly B.
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3. Duncan T.
| 3.  Penisini W.
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4. Wighton J.
| 4. Samrani J.
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6. Walker C.
| 5. Addo-Carr J.
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7.  Ward A.
| 6. Volkman R.
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8. Tatola T.
| 7. Moses M. (C)
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9. Smith B.
| 8. Tuivaiti S.
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10. Koloamatangi K.
| 10.  Moretti L.
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11. Fifita D.
| 11.  Williams J.
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12. Elliott A.
| 12.  Kautoga K.
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13. Murray C. (C)
| 13. De Belin J.
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14. Gray J.
| 22. Smith R.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
15. Hubner L.
| 9. Da Silva T.
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16. Keppie S.
| 14. Pryke S.
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17. Humphreys J.
| 15.  Paulo J.
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18. Sullivan J.
| 16. Brown T.
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19. Fletcher T.
| 19. Funa-Iuta J.
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21. Graham-Taufa M.
| 20. Mataele T.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Bennett W.
| . Ryles J.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (28 - 0)
- 3', Johnston A. (Try),
- 4', Ward A. (Missed Conversion),
- 7', Tatola T. (Try),
- 8', Ward A. (Conversion Goal),
- 10', Johnston A. (Try),
- 12', Ward A. (Missed Conversion),
- 18', Smith B. (Try),
- 20', Ward A. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Johnston A. (Try),
- 27', Ward A. (Missed Conversion),
- 40', Gray J. (Try),
- 40', Humphreys J. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (0 - 24)
- 44', Da Silva T. (Try),
- 45', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
- 47', Smith R. (Try),
- 48', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
- 50', Volkman R. (Try),
- 51', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Samrani J. (Try),
- 69', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 4.Both teams have been playing unpredictably. In this match, South Sydney is seen as the favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 519:368. (average 26:18.4).Including home matches between the teams, South Sydney won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 225:218. (average 22.5:21.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Parramatta Eels - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.74%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 25.06.26 | Parramatta Eels - South Sydney Rabbitohs | 12:32 | | 16.08.25 | South Sydney Rabbitohs - Parramatta Eels | 20:16 | | 04.07.24 | Parramatta Eels - South Sydney Rabbitohs | 16:32 | | 25.05.24 | South Sydney Rabbitohs - Parramatta Eels | 42:26 | | 19.05.23 | South Sydney Rabbitohs - Parramatta Eels | 16:36 | | 12.08.22 | Parramatta Eels - South Sydney Rabbitohs | 0:26 | | 02.07.22 | South Sydney Rabbitohs - Parramatta Eels | 30:12 |
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