Match Info
NRL - Round 27Date: 7 September 2025, SundayLocation: Kayo Stadium (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox League, NRL |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
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 |
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Dolphins |
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Canberra Raiders |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.24 |
34 |
4.25 |
|
 |
1.22 |
26 |
4.33 |
|
 |
1.28 |
25 |
4.2 |
|
 |
1.11 |
25.30 |
7.08 |
 Watch |
 |
1.2 |
26 |
4.2 |
|
 |
1.26 |
26 |
4.03 |
Watch |
 |
1.25 |
34 |
4 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.22 ↓
(1.4) |
28.04 ↑
(22.33) |
4.58 ↑
(3.17) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 53.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)
- The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dolphins
76.3% | Draw
3.3% | Canberra Raiders
20.4% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dolphins's performance.Canberra Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Canberra Raiders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (-15.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dolphins that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canberra Raiders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Dolphins - Canberra Raiders Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Dolphins will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Canberra will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dolphins (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +12.5 - Canberra (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dolphins (votes: 1 - 50%). Canberra (votes: 1 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:20 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Fuller T.
| 1. Stewart C.
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2.  Isaako J.
| 2. Tamale S.
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3. Averillo J.
| 4. Kris S.
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4.  Tabuai-Fidow H.
| 5. Asomua M.
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5. Naufahu T.
| 6. Cook A.
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6. Nikorima K.
| 7. Sanders E.
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7.  Katoa I. (C)
| 8. Horsburgh C. (C)
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8. Molo F.
| 9. Pattie O.
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9. Marshall-King J.
| 10. Mariota A.
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10. Kaufusi F.
| 11. Martin N.
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11. Finefeuiaki K.
| 12.  Nicholson M.
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12. Keeley O.
| 13. Smithies M.
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13.  Donoghoe K.
| 16. Waitere M.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
14. Tawha A.
| 14. Levi D.
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15. Stone R.
| 15. Mooney T.
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16. Nicholls M.
| 17. Roddy J.
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17. Kerr J.
| 18.  Anderson K.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Woolf K.
| . Stuart R.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (30 - 0)
- 9', Naufahu T. (Try),
- 11', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 24', Keeley O. (Try),
- 25', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Averillo J. (Try),
- 32', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 34', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
- 36', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 39', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
- 40', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (32 - 24)
- 41', Asomua M. (Try),
- 43', Cook A. (Conversion Goal),
- 46', Stone R. (Try),
- 47', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
- 53', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 56', Nicholls M. (Try),
- 57', Nicholls M. (Conversion Goal),
- 58', Martin N. (Try),
- 59', Cook A. (Conversion Goal),
- 62', Naufahu T. (Try),
- 64', Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
- 66', Roddy J. (Try),
- 67', Cook A. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Roddy J. (Try),
- 69', Cook A. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Isaako J. (Try),
- 75', Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
- 79', Averillo J. (Try),
- 79', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).Dolphins has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Canberra is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Canberra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Dolphins is considered a favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dolphins won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 83:97. (average 27.7:32.3).Including home match between the teams, Dolphins won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:26.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 27.04.25 | Canberra Raiders - Dolphins | 40:28 | | 01.06.24 | Dolphins - Canberra Raiders | 25:26 OT | | 29.04.23 | Canberra Raiders - Dolphins | 31:30 OT |
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