The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Parramatta Eels 55.5%
Draw 3.8%
Gold Coast Titans 40.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
65.5%
4.7%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.8%
5.1%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Parramatta Eels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Parramatta Eels's form might have worsened.
Gold Coast Titans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gold Coast Titans's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parramatta Eels than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Parramatta Eels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Titans than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gold Coast Titans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Parramatta Eels - Gold Coast Titans Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:24
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Papalii J.
1. K
2. Nanva A.
2. Faeamani S.
3. Penisini W.
3. JoJo
4. Kelly B.
4. Brimson A.
5. Addo-Carr J.
5. Sami P.
6. Volkman R.
6. Ilias L.
7. Moses M.
7. Campbell J.
8. Williams J.
9. Verrills S.
9. Smith R.
10. Faasuamaleaui T.
10. Paulo J.
11. Hau A.
11. Tuilagi K.
12. Fermor B.
12. Kautoga K.
13. Randall C.
13. Walker D.
14. Morrin K.
Substitutes
14. Da Silva T.
15. Bai C.
15. Tuivaiti S.
16. Fotuaika M.
16. Guymer C.
17. Pascoe O.
17. Moretti L.
18. De Groot J.
18. De Belin J.
20. Harrison Z.
22. Talataina L.
21. Christensen A.
Coaches
. Ryles J.
. Hannay J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (6 - 18)
10', Hau A. (Try),
11', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
13', Brimson A. (Try),
14', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
16', Faeamani S. (Try),
18', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
32', Penisini W. (Try),
33', Volkman R. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (4 - 34)
46', Campbell J. (Try),
47', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
50', Bai C. (Try),
51', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
58', Sami P. (Try),
64', Addo-Carr J. (Try),
67', Faeamani S. (Try),
69', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
73', Campbell J. (Try),
74', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
75', Sami P. (Try),
77', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 3.
Parramatta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Gold Coast's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Parramatta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Parramatta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Parramatta will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 481:426. (average 24.1:21.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Parramatta won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 193:184. (average 24.1:23).
Australia
New-zealand
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Papalii J. 
K 
Penisini W. 
Ilias L. 
Williams J. 
Paulo J. 
Kautoga K. 
Moretti L. 
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