The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gold Coast Titans 26.7%
Draw 4.6%
South Sydney Rabbitohs 68.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.7%
3.8%
60.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.6%
3.8%
60.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gold Coast Titans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gold Coast Titans's form might have worsened.
South Sydney Rabbitohs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting South Sydney Rabbitohs's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gold Coast Titans than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gold Coast Titans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for South Sydney Rabbitohs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gold Coast Titans - South Sydney Rabbitohs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:33
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. K
1. Dufty M.
2. De Groot J.
2. Johnston A.
4. Brimson A.
3. Duncan T.
5. Sami P.
4. Wighton J.
6. Campbell J.
5. Graham C.
7. Ilias L.
6. Walker C.
8. Haas K.
7. Sullivan J.
9. Pascoe O.
8. Tatola T.
10. Faasuamaleaui T. (C)
9. Smith B.
11. Patston J.
10. Koloamatangi K.
12. Morrin K.
11. Fifita D.
13. Bai C.
12. Aitken E.
18. Faeamani S.
23. Arrow J. (C)
Substitutes
14. Fotuaika M.
13. Murray C.
15. Randall C.
14. Gray J.
16. Sharpley B.
15. Hubner L.
17. Sommerton L.
16. Keppie S.
19. Hau A.
17. Humphreys J.
20. Feagai M.
18. Elliott A.
19. Mitchell L.
Coaches
. Hannay J.
. Bennett W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (6 - 28)
02:39, Murray C. (Try),
03:51, Sullivan J. (Conversion Goal),
13:03, Koloamatangi K. (Try),
14:28, Sullivan J. (Conversion Goal),
18:31, Aitken E. (Try),
20:13, Sullivan J. (Conversion Goal),
20:50, Fifita D. (Try),
22:18, Sullivan J. (Missed Conversion),
25:17, Murray C. (Try),
26:46, Sullivan J. (Conversion Goal),
30:59, Faasuamaleaui T. (Try),
32:08, Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (16 - 14)
47:49, Pascoe O. (Try),
48:56, Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
53:09, Faeamani S. (Try),
53:38, Campbell J. (Missed Conversion),
70:08, Duncan T. (Try),
70:52, Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
71:43, Brimson A. (Try),
72:57, Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
76:49, Duncan T. (Try),
77:16, Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
79:26, Johnston A. (Try),
79:39, Walker C. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 0.
Recent form of Gold Coast has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
South Sydney's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Gold Coast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, South Sydney is seen as the favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 301:516. (average 17.7:30.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 176:316. (average 17.6:31.6).