The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 74.8%
Draw 4.2%
South Sydney Rabbitohs 21%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
68.8%
3.8%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.1%
3.9%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks's performance.
South Sydney Rabbitohs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Sydney Rabbitohs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Sydney Rabbitohs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks - South Sydney Rabbitohs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:20
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kennedy W.
1. Dufty M.
2. Katoa S.
2. Johnston A.
3. Ramien J.
3. Siegwalt L.
4. Iro K.
4. Wighton J.
5. Mulitalo R.
5. Graham C.
6. Trindall B.
6. Walker C. (C)
7. Hynes N.
7. Ward A.
9. Brailey B. (C)
8. Tatola T.
11. Nikora B.
9. Smith B.
12. Wilton T.
10. Koloamatangi K.
13. McInnes C.
13. Hubner L.
14. Colquhoun J.
19. Radel J.
17. Kaufusi O.
22. Elliott A.
Substitutes
8. Fonua-Blake A.
14. Gray J.
10. Hazelton T.
15. Humphreys J.
15. Burns B.
16. Le Blanc L.
16. Talakai S.
17. Keppie S.
20. Stonestreet S.
18. Sullivan J.
22. Berrell J.
20. Fletcher T.
Coaches
. Fitzgibbon C.
. Bennett W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (18 - 6)
7', Siegwalt L. (Try),
8', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
23', Nikora B. (Try),
24', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
27', Talakai S. (Try),
28', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
37', Brailey B. (Try),
39', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 10)
46', Graham C. (Try),
48', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
50', Fonua-Blake A. (Try),
52', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
55', Hynes N. (Penalty Goal),
68', Mulitalo R. (Try),
70', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
74', Johnston A. (Try),
77', Siegwalt L. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cronulla-Sutherland won 4.
Cronulla-Sutherland is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, South Sydney has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Cronulla-Sutherland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Cronulla-Sutherland has had a series of away games.
In this match, Cronulla-Sutherland is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cronulla-Sutherland won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 381:379. (average 19.1:19).
Including home matches between the teams, Cronulla-Sutherland won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 245:223. (average 20.4:18.6).