The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
South Sydney Rabbitohs 45.2%
Draw 4.3%
Melbourne Storm 50.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
64.9%
3.7%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.9%
4%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Sydney Rabbitohs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Sydney Rabbitohs's form might have worsened.
Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Storm's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Sydney Rabbitohs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Storm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. South Sydney will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:24
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dufty M.
1. Faalogo S.
2. Johnston A.
2. Tuimalatu-Brown S.
3. Siegwalt L.
3. Howarth J.
4. Wighton J.
4. Meaney N.
5. Graham C.
5. Moses L.
6. Walker C.
6. Wishart T.
7. Ward A.
7. Hughes J.
8. Tatola T.
8. Utoikamanu S.
9. Smith B.
10. King J.
10. Koloamatangi K.
11. Clarke C.
12. Aitken E.
12. Keeley O.
18. Garlick B.
13. Loiero T.
19. Radel J.
14. Toelau T.
Substitutes
13. Hubner L.
9. Grant H.
14. Sullivan J.
15. Hetherington J.
15. Gray J.
17. MacDonald A.
16. Le Blanc L.
18. Huen S.
17. Humphries M.
19. Waitere M.
20. Fletcher T.
20. Hinchey A.
Coaches
. Bennett W.
. Bellamy C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (8 - 16)
3', Graham C. (Try),
4', Siegwalt L. (Missed Conversion),
8', Wighton J. (Try),
10', Siegwalt L. (Missed Conversion),
17', Tuimalatu-Brown S. (Try),
19', Wishart T. (Missed Conversion),
25', Keeley O. (Try),
27', Wishart T. (Missed Conversion),
34', Wishart T. (Penalty Goal),
38', Faalogo S. (Try),
40', Wishart T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (20 - 10)
50', Smith B. (Try),
51', Smith B. (Conversion Goal),
56', Johnston A. (Try),
57', Ward A. (Missed Conversion),
64', Radel J. (Try),
65', Ward A. (Conversion Goal),
67', Wishart T. (Try),
69', Wishart T. (Conversion Goal),
71', Meaney N. (Try),
72', Wishart T. (Missed Conversion),
76', Graham C. (Try),
77', Ward A. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 354:500. (average 17.7:25).
Including home matches between the teams, South Sydney won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 154:233. (average 15.4:23.3).
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Dufty M. 
Faalogo S. 
Johnston A. 
Moses L. 
Tatola T. 
Aitken E. 
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