Match Info
Super League - Round 5Date: 22 March 2026, SundayLocation: MKM Stadium (Hull)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox League |
 United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports+, Superleague+ |
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Hull |
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Leeds Rhinos |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 45.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-13)
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hull
20% | Draw
3.9% | Leeds Rhinos
76.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Hull has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hull's form might have worsened.Leeds Rhinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leeds Rhinos's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hull, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds Rhinos than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leeds Rhinos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Hull - Leeds Rhinos Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 17:30 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1.  Litten D.
| 1.  Miller L.
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2. Briscoe T.
| 2.  Sivo M.
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3. Hardaker Z.
| 3. Newman H.
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4.  Romano A.
| 4. Handley A. (C)
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5. Martin L.
| 6. Croft B.
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6. Arthur J.
| 7. Connor J.
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9. Bourouh A.
| 8. Oledzki M.
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10. Hill H.
| 11. Watkins K.
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12. Bailey C.
| 12.  McDonnell J.
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13.  Asiata J.
| 13.  Palasia K.
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15. Sao L.
| 14. Hankinson C.
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16.  Bell J.
| 17. Smith C.
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17. Cust C.
| 23. Levi D.
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| Substitutes |
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11. Fash B.
| 9. O'Connor J.
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14. Lisone S.
| 10. Holroyd T.
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23. Moy L.
| 15. Jenkins C.
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25. Laidlaw M.
| 16. O'Neill E.
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27. Kemp C.
| 33. Bird J.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (14 - 16)
- 6', Connor J. (Penalty Goal),
- 8', Arthur J. (Try),
- 9', Hardaker Z. (Conversion Goal),
- 11', Sao L. (Try),
- 13', Hardaker Z. (Conversion Goal),
- 17', Hardaker Z. (Penalty Goal),
- 26', McDonnell J. (Try),
- 27', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
- 32', Croft B. (Try),
- 33', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
- 39', Connor J. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (10 - 0)
- 43', Hardaker Z. (Penalty Goal),
- 48', Hardaker Z. (Penalty Goal),
- 52', Litten D. (Try),
- 54', Hardaker Z. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 1.Recent form of Hull has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Leeds has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Hull may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Leeds is considered a favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hull won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 360:491. (average 18:24.6).Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 145:242. (average 16.1:26.9).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super League Rugby | | | 30.08.25 | Hull - Leeds Rhinos | 0:34 | | 16.05.25 | Leeds Rhinos - Hull | 18:16 | | 06.09.24 | Leeds Rhinos - Hull | 68:6 | | 15.06.24 | Hull - Leeds Rhinos | 18:10 | | 28.04.24 | Hull - Leeds Rhinos | 12:18 | | 02.09.23 | Hull - Leeds Rhinos | 12:28 | | 14.04.23 | Leeds Rhinos - Hull | 34:10 |
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