What is the expert prediction for Hull Kingston Rovers vs Wigan Warriors?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Hull Kingston Rovers vs Wigan Warriors. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Hull Kingston Rovers vs Wigan Warriors Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, October 11, 2025)

Match Info

Super League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox League
Germany	Sportdigital1+
Ukraine	Sport 3
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+


	Hull Kingston Rovers		Wigan Warriors

	1	X	2
	2.5	17	1.67	Watch
	2.45	17	1.61
	2.41	16.22	1.67	Watch
	2.5	13	1.64
	2.55	17	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.25)	16.04 ↓ (18.25)	1.63 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 29.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull Kingston Rovers
37.4%

Draw
5.8%

Wigan Warriors
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

5.1%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

6.2%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull Kingston Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Wigan Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull Kingston Rovers than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hull Kingston Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Warriors than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wigan Warriors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 - Wigan (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wigan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 14:17

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Davies T.	1. Field J.
3. Hiku P.	2. Miski A.
4. Gildart O.	3. Keighran A.
5. Burgess J.	4. Wardle J.
6. Lewis M.	5. Marshall L.
7. May T.	6. French B.
8. Sue S.	7. Smith H.
10. Waerea-Hargreaves J.	9. O'Neill B.
11. Hadley D.	10. Thompson L.
12. Batchelor J.	12. Farrell L.
13. Minchella E.	13. Ellis K.
14. McIlorum M.	16. Byrne L.
35. Mourgue A.	21. Walters S.
Substitutes
9. Litten J.	. Hill H.
15. Luckley S.	. Mago P.
16. Whitbread J.	8. Havard E.
17. Martin R.	15. Nsemba J.
18. Broadbent J.	17. Leeming K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 2)
20', Lewis M. (Try),
21', Mourgue A. (Conversion Goal),
27', Burgess J. (Try),
40+2', Keighran A. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 4)
49', Smith H. (Try),
54', Martin R. (Penalty Goal),
60', Litten J. (Try),
62', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
78', Burgess J. (Try),
80', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Neutral location - Old Trafford.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull Kingston won 1.

Hull Kingston is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wigan is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hull Kingston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hull Kingston has had a series of home games.

Wigan might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hull Kingston won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 328:531. (average 16.4:26.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hull Kingston won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 212:214. (average 21.2:21.4).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull Kingston Rovers
Super League Rugby
04.10.25	Hull Kingston Rovers - St Helens	20:12 ✺
18.09.25	Hull Kingston Rovers - Warrington Wolves	28:20 ✺
13.09.25	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Hull Kingston Rovers	28:12 ✺
07.09.25	Hull Kingston Rovers - Hull	18:4 ✺
29.08.25	Hull Kingston Rovers - St Helens	12:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWW
- Wigan Warriors
Super League Rugby
03.10.25	Wigan Warriors - Leigh Leopards	18:6 ✺
19.09.25	Wigan Warriors - Leeds Rhinos	22:6 ✺
12.09.25	Wigan Warriors - Castleford Tigers	62:6 ✺
05.09.25	St Helens - Wigan Warriors	4:18 ✺
30.08.25	Catalans Dragons - Wigan Warriors	4:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Super League Rugby
15.08.25	Wigan Warriors - Hull Kingston Rovers	6:10
11.04.25	Hull Kingston Rovers - Wigan Warriors	12:28
12.10.24	Wigan Warriors - Hull Kingston Rovers	9:2
06.09.24	Wigan Warriors - Hull Kingston Rovers	24:20
Challenge Cup Rugby League
18.05.24	Hull Kingston Rovers - Wigan Warriors	6:38
Super League Rugby
26.04.24	Hull Kingston Rovers - Wigan Warriors	26:10
07.10.23	Wigan Warriors - Hull Kingston Rovers	42:12

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