The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wigan Warriors 49.4%
Draw 5.7%
Leeds Rhinos 44.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.3%
5.1%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.7%
5.7%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wigan Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Leeds Rhinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Warriors than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wigan Warriors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds Rhinos than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leeds Rhinos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Wigan Warriors - Leeds Rhinos Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:18
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Field J.
. Newman H.
2. Eckersley Z.
1. Miller L.
3. Keighran A.
2. Sivo M.
4. Wardle J.
4. Handley A.
7. Smith H.
5. Hall R.
8. Havard E.
6. Croft B.
9. O'Neill B.
7. Connor J.
10. Thompson L.
10. Holroyd T.
11. Nsemba J.
11. Watkins K.
14. Walters S.
12. McDonnell J.
17. Partington O.
13. Palasia K.
19. Farrimond J.
14. Hankinson C.
28. Hodkinson N.
23. Levi D.
Substitutes
13. Ellis K.
8. Oledzki M.
15. Mago P.
9. O'Connor J.
20. Eseh S.
15. Jenkins C.
23. McDermott K.
17. Smith C.
25. Kerr T.
38. Nicholson-Watton T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (16 - 0)
6', Farrimond J. (Try),
8', Keighran A. (Conversion Goal),
21', Keighran A. (Try),
24', Keighran A. (Conversion Goal),
29', Hodkinson N. (Try),
2nd Half (8 - 4)
45', Keighran A. (Penalty Goal),
52', Wardle J. (Try),
54', Keighran A. (Conversion Goal),
66', Sivo M. (Try),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 3.
Wigan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Leeds is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Leeds may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 401:318. (average 20.1:15.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Wigan won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 228:134. (average 22.8:13.4).
United-kingdom
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Field J. 
Newman H. 
Sivo M. 
McDonnell J. 
Palasia K. 
Mago P. 
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