Match Info
Challenge Cup - Semi-finalsDate: 9 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: BrewDog Stadium (St Helens)
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St Helens |
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Wigan Warriors |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.95 |
17 |
1.95 |
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2 |
17 |
1.95 |
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2.03 |
16.8 |
1.89 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.99 ↓ (2.5) |
16.93 ↓ (19) |
1.93 ↑ (1.58) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 35.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
St Helens 46.5% | Draw 5.5% | Wigan Warriors 48% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:St Helens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St Helens's performance.Wigan Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wigan Warriors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Helens than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Helens that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Warriors than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wigan Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.St Helens - Wigan Warriors Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. St Helens will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 17:19 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Helens won 1.St Helens has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).Wigan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Wigan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, St Helens has had a series of home games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Helens won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 400:268. (average 20:13.4).Including home matches between the teams, St Helens won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 228:128. (average 22.8:12.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super League Rugby | | | 03.04.26 | St Helens - Wigan Warriors | 34:24 | | 05.09.25 | St Helens - Wigan Warriors | 4:18 | | 18.04.25 | Wigan Warriors - St Helens | 24:14 | | 17.08.24 | Wigan Warriors - St Helens | 20:0 | | 12.07.24 | Wigan Warriors - St Helens | 16:12 | | 29.03.24 | St Helens - Wigan Warriors | 12:4 | | 09.06.23 | St Helens - Wigan Warriors | 34:16 |
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