Match Info
Pacific Championships - League A - Play Offs - FinalDate: 9 November 2025, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | 9 HD, Nine |
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New Zealand |
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Samoa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.67 |
23 |
2.25 |
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 |
1.66 |
16.05 |
2.40 |
Watch |
 |
1.69 |
18 |
2.3 |
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 |
1.64 |
26 |
2.25 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 ↓ (1.69) |
20.76 ↓ (21) |
2.3 (2.3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 42.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
New Zealand 55.4% | Draw 4.4% | Samoa 40.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:New Zealand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Samoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)New Zealand - Samoa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:19 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (6 - 14)
- 10', To'o B. (Try),
- 11', Talagi B. (Conversion Goal),
- 27', Sasagi S. (Try),
- 29', Talagi B. (Conversion Goal),
- 33', Whyte N. (Try),
- 33', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Talagi B. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (30 - 0)
- 51', Whyte N. (Try),
- 51', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 53', Isaako J. (Penalty Goal),
- 56', Clark E. (Try),
- 58', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 67', McLean C. (Try),
- 75', Isaako J. (Penalty Goal),
- 76', Papali'i I. (Try),
- 78', Nicoll-Klokstad C. (Try),
- 78', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Samoa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. New Zealand is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 168:62. (average 33.6:12.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;