Match Info

Pacific Championships - League A

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Eden Park (Auckland)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	9 HD, Fox League, Nine


	New Zealand		Tonga

	1	X	2
	1.38	26	3.1
	1.43	15.98	3.14	Watch
	1.37	20	3.24
	1.36	23	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)	21.25 ↑ (20)	3.17 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

New Zealand
66.6%

Draw
4.3%

Tonga
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.7%

4.6%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Zealand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Tonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

New Zealand - Tonga Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. New Zealand will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:18

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (24 - 2)
18', K (Try),
19', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
23', Brown D. (Try),
25', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
28', McLean C. (Try),
29', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
36', Timoko M. (Try),
37', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
39', Katoa I. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (16 - 12)
43', Isaako J. (Penalty Goal),
48', Vaimauga D. (Try),
49', Katoa I. (Conversion Goal),
51', Nicoll-Klokstad C. (Try),
64', Brown D. (Try),
66', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
70', Crossland P. (Try),
75', Tupou D. (Try),
76', Katoa I. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Tonga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, New Zealand is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 106:73. (average 26.5:18.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Zealand rugby league
Pacific Championships Rugby League
19.10.25	New Zealand - Samoa	24:18 ✺
10.11.24	New Zealand - Papua New Guinea	54:12 ✺
02.11.24	New Zealand - Tonga	24:25 ✺
27.10.24	New Zealand - Australia	10:22 ✺
04.11.23	Australia - New Zealand	0:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLLW
- Tonga rugby league
Pacific Championships Rugby League
26.10.25	Samoa - Tonga	34:6 ✺
10.11.24	Australia - Tonga	20:14 ✺
02.11.24	New Zealand - Tonga	24:25 ✺
18.10.24	Australia - Tonga	18:0 ✺
Friendly International Rugby League
04.11.23	England - Tonga	26:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Pacific Championships Rugby League
02.11.24	New Zealand - Tonga	24:25
Friendly International Rugby League
25.06.22	New Zealand - Tonga	26:6
22.06.19	New Zealand - Tonga	34:14
Rugby League World Cup
10.11.17	New Zealand - Tonga	22:28

Upcoming Matches