Match Info
Pacific Championships - League ADate: 26 October 2025, SundayLocation: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Australia | NRL |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Samoa |
|
Tonga |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2 |
26 |
1.83 |
|
 |
1.14 |
18.96 |
6.61 |
 Watch |
 |
1.91 |
18 |
2 |
|
 |
1.91 |
19 |
1.91 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.82) |
20.49 ↓
(22) |
3.09 ↑
(2.05) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Samoa
60.7% | Draw
5.2% | Tonga
34.2% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Samoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samoa's performance.Tonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tonga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.Samoa - Tonga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:22 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (12 - 0)
- 9', Tago I. (Try),
- 19', Talagi B. (Penalty Goal),
- 29', Nanai J. (Try),
- 30', Talagi B. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (22 - 6)
- 47', Nanai J. (Try),
- 62', Taulagi M. (Try),
- 63', Talagi B. (Conversion Goal),
- 65', Haas P. (Try),
- 67', Talagi B. (Conversion Goal),
- 75', Harris-Tavita C. (Try),
- 77', Talagi B. (Conversion Goal),
- 78', Koula T. (Try),
- 78', Katoa I. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Tonga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Samoa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 60:88. (average 20:29.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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