Match Info
NRL - Round 26Date: 29 August 2025, FridayLocation: Go Media Stadium (Auckland)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | NRL |
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New Zealand Warriors |
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Parramatta Eels |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 43.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
New Zealand Warriors
54.1% | Draw
4.5% | Parramatta Eels
41.4% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Zealand Warriors's form might have worsened.Parramatta Eels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Parramatta Eels's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parramatta Eels than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Parramatta Eels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.New Zealand Warriors - Parramatta Eels Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Parramatta will win (votes: 6 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Parramatta Eels will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:20 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1.  Nicoll-Klokstad C.
| 1.  Iongi I.
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2. Watene-Zelezniak D.
| 2. Lomax Z.
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3. Pompey A.
| 3.  Penisini W.
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4. Berry R.
| 5. Addo-Carr J.
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5.  Tuivasa-Sheck R.
| 6. Papalii J.
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6. Harris-Tavita C.
| 7. Moses M.
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7. Boyd T.
| 8. Hopgood J.
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8. Fisher-Harris J.
| 9. Smith R.
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9. Egan W.
| 10. Paulo J.
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11. Capewell K.
| 11. Tuilagi K.
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12. Niukore M.
| 12.  Williams J.
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13. Clark E.
| 13. Walker D.
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16. Stowers-Smith T.
| 18. Russell S.
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| Substitutes |
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10. Vaimauga D.
| 14. Da Silva T.
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14. Martin T.
| 15. Doorey M.
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15. Ieremia-Toeava E.
| 16. Guymer C.
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17. Halasima L.
| 17. Samrani J.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (4 - 12)
- 4', Addo-Carr J. (Try),
- 6', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
- 16', Williams J. (Try),
- 17', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
- 20', Pompey A. (Try),
- 22', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (18 - 14)
- 44', Moses M. (Penalty Goal),
- 50', Iongi I. (Try),
- 51', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
- 56', Tuivasa-Sheck R. (Try),
- 58', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Halasima L. (Try),
- 62', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 64', Iongi I. (Try),
- 66', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
- 71', Halasima L. (Try),
- 72', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 1.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. New Zealand could have a small edge in this match.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 350:368. (average 20.6:21.6).Including home matches between the teams, New Zealand won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 173:171. (average 21.6:21.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 02.08.24 | New Zealand Warriors - Parramatta Eels | 20:30 | | 08.07.23 | Parramatta Eels - New Zealand Warriors | 10:46 | | 15.07.22 | Parramatta Eels - New Zealand Warriors | 28:18 | | 15.05.21 | New Zealand Warriors - Parramatta Eels | 18:34 | | 06.09.20 | New Zealand Warriors - Parramatta Eels | 18:24 | | 27.07.19 | Parramatta Eels - New Zealand Warriors | 24:22 | | 18.05.18 | Parramatta Eels - New Zealand Warriors | 14:24 |
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