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Current Win Probability
Parramatta Eels 36.1%
Draw 4.6%
North Queensland Cowboys 59.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.4%
3.7%
53.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
3.9%
50.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Parramatta Eels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Parramatta Eels's form might have worsened.
North Queensland Cowboys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North Queensland Cowboys's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parramatta Eels than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Parramatta Eels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North Queensland Cowboys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Parramatta Eels - North Queensland Cowboys Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:27
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Twidle A.
1. Drinkwater S.
2. Kelly B.
2. Burns B.
3. Penisini W.
3. Laybutt Z.
4. Samrani J.
4. Chester T.
5. Addo-Carr J.
5. Taulagi M.
6. Volkman R.
6. Clifford J.
7. Moses M. (C)
7. Purdue J.
8. Moretti L.
8. Neame G.
9. Da Silva T.
9. Mahoney R.
10. Paulo J.
10. Taumalolo J.
11. Williams J.
11. Luki H.
12. Kautoga K.
12. O'Donnell K.
15. Pryke S.
13. Cotter R. (C)
Substitutes
14. Walker D.
14. Luke S.
16. Brown T.
15. Mikaele T.
17. Funa-Iuta J.
16. Bateman J.
18. Mataele T.
17. Hess C.
19. Russell S.
18. McIntyre S.
21. Edwards H.
19. King E.
Coaches
. Ryles J.
. Payten T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (14 - 12)
11', Mahoney R. (Try),
12', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
14', Twidle A. (Try),
16', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
19', Volkman R. (Try),
21', Moses M. (Missed Conversion),
22', Da Silva T. (Try),
24', Moses M. (Missed Conversion),
30', Burns B. (Try),
32', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (18 - 18)
43', Addo-Carr J. (Try),
45', Moses M. (Missed Conversion),
49', Purdue J. (Try),
50', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
52', Cotter R. (Try),
53', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
55', Da Silva T. (Try),
56', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
58', Chester T. (Try),
59', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
61', Samrani J. (Try),
62', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
75', Moses M. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 4.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Parramatta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
North Queensland could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 393:462. (average 19.7:23.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Parramatta won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 258:247. (average 21.5:20.6).
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Twidle A. 
Penisini W. 
Moretti L. 
Paulo J. 
Williams J. 
Kautoga K. 
Mikaele T. 
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