The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Parramatta Eels 28%
Draw 4.1%
Melbourne Storm 67.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.8%
3.8%
64.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
2.9%
49.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Parramatta Eels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parramatta Eels than the current prediction. (+13%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Parramatta Eels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (-18%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Storm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Parramatta Eels - Melbourne Storm Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Parramatta will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:31
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Papalii J.
1. Faalogo S.
2. Kelly B.
2. Warbrick W.
3. Samrani J.
3. Howarth J.
4. Russell S.
4. Meaney N.
5. Addo-Carr J.
5. Moses L.
6. Volkman R.
6. Munster C.
7. Moses M. (C)
7. Hughes J.
8. Moretti L.
8. Utoikamanu S.
9. Da Silva T.
9. Grant H. (C)
11. Tuilagi K.
10. King J.
12. Williams J.
11. Blore S.
13. De Belin J.
12. Lisati A.
17. Guymer C.
13. Loiero T.
Substitutes
10. Paulo J.
14. Toelau T.
14. Walker D.
15. Clarke C.
15. Pryke S.
16. Moale D.
16. Mataele T.
17. Chan J.
18. Twidle A.
18. Huen S.
19. Brown T.
20. Pahulu J.
Coaches
. Ryles J.
. Bellamy C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 10)
07:23, Russell S. (Try),
08:53, Moses M. (Missed Conversion),
10:47, Moses L. (Try),
12:11, Meaney N. (Missed Conversion),
15:15, Howarth J. (Try),
16:44, Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (4 - 24)
46:14, Munster C. (Try),
47:52, Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
55:34, Clarke C. (Try),
57:08, Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
59:36, Papalii J. (Try),
60:51, Moses M. (Missed Conversion),
72:53, Grant H. (Try),
74:26, Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
76:05, King J. (Try),
76:34, Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 0.
Recent performances by Parramatta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Melbourne is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Melbourne is a strong favorite.
We predict that Parramatta will win today's game, with odds of 3.17.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 291:528. (average 14.6:26.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Parramatta won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 111:116. (average 13.9:14.5).
Australia
New-zealand
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Papalii J. 
Faalogo S. 
Warbrick W. 
Moretti L. 
Tuilagi K. 
Williams J. 
Moale D. 
Chan J. 
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