Match Info

NRL - Round 26

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: CommBank Stadium (Sydney)

Referee: Klein A. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ


	Parramatta Eels		Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks

	1	X	2
	2.9	26	1.42
	2.8	20	1.5
	2.9	24.94	1.44	Watch
	3.40		1.30	Watch
	2.95	25	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.88)	19.19 ↑ (11.33)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parramatta Eels
30.6%

Draw
4.8%

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
64.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.7%

7.8%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

7.5%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parramatta Eels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parramatta Eels than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Parramatta Eels - Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Cronulla-Sutherland will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:32

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Twidle A.	1. Kennedy W.
2. Kelly B.	2. Katoa S.
3. Penisini W.	3. Hiroti M.
4. Russell S.	4. Iro K.
5. Addo-Carr J.	5. Mulitalo R.
6. Volkman R.	6. Puru N.
7. Moses M. (C)	7. Hynes N.
8. Moretti L.	8. Fonua-Blake A.
9. Da Silva T.	9. Brailey B. (C)
10. Paulo J.	10. Colquhoun J.
11. Williams J.	11. Nikora B.
12. Kautoga K.	12. Wilton T.
13. Pryke S.	13. McInnes C.
Substitutes
14. Edwards H.	14. Talakai S.
15. Talagi R.	15. Burns B.
16. Brown T.	16. Kaufusi O.
17. Walker D.	17. Hazelton T.
20. Tuilagi K.	20. Jones R.
21. Pezet J.	21. Pollard R.
Coaches
. Ryles J.	. Fitzgibbon C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (26 - 8)
2', Twidle A. (Try),
3', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
6', Penisini W. (Try),
7', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
15', Moses M. (Penalty Goal),
24', Katoa S. (Try),
26', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
30', Moses M. (Try),
30', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
35', Volkman R. (Try),
36', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
40', Hynes N. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (12 - 10)
57', Brailey B. (Try),
58', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
63', Katoa S. (Try),
76', Da Silva T. (Try),
76', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
80', Da Silva T. (Try),
80', Russell S. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cronulla-Sutherland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cronulla-Sutherland might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 405:373. (average 20.3:18.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Parramatta won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 205:167. (average 20.5:16.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Parramatta Eels - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 30.7%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Parramatta Eels
Australian NRL
21.08.26	Dolphins - Parramatta Eels	34:16 ✺
15.08.26	Parramatta Eels - North Queensland Cowboys	32:30 ✺
08.08.26	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Parramatta Eels	28:24 ✺
02.08.26	Wests Tigers - Parramatta Eels	13:16 ✺
23.07.26	Parramatta Eels - Penrith Panthers	18:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL
- Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
Australian NRL
23.08.26	Gold Coast Titans - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	22:30 ✺
15.08.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Canberra Raiders	20:24 ✺
09.08.26	St. George Illawarra Dragons - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	24:16 ✺
02.08.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - South Sydney Rabbitohs	32:16 ✺
26.07.26	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	12:48 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
15.02.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Parramatta Eels	6:40
02.05.25	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Parramatta Eels	28:18
30.05.24	Parramatta Eels - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	34:22
10.03.23	Parramatta Eels - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	26:30
19.03.22	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Parramatta Eels	18:16
27.03.21	Parramatta Eels - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	28:4
09.08.20	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Parramatta Eels	12:14

Parramatta Eels - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide