Match Info
NRL - Round 21Date: 23 July 2026, ThursdayLocation: CommBank Stadium (Sydney)Referee: Sutton G. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, Nine, NRL TV |
Canada | fubo Sports Network |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 1 |
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Parramatta Eels |
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Penrith Panthers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
5 |
26 |
1.18 |
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 |
5.3 |
22 |
1.18 |
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 |
5.33 |
24.81 |
1.18 |
Watch |
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4.50 |
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1.17 |
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 |
5.8 |
28 |
1.15 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.19 ↑ (4.7) |
20.16 ↓ (27.4) |
1.17 ↓ (1.21) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 45.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-16)
- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Parramatta Eels 17.6% | Draw 4.5% | Penrith Panthers 77.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Parramatta Eels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Parramatta Eels - Penrith Panthers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 15:31 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Iongi I.
| 2. Jenkins T.
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2. Kelly B.
| 3. Alamoti P.
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3. Samrani J.
| 4. McLean C.
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5. Addo-Carr J.
| 5. To'o B.
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6. Volkman R.
| 6. Talagi B.
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7. Moses M.
| 7. Cleary N.
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8. Tuivaiti S.
| 8. Leota M.
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9. Da Silva T.
| 9. Lussick F.
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10. Williams J.
| 10. Smith L.
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12. Kautoga K.
| 11. Papali'i I.
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13. De Belin J.
| 12. Martin L.
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15. Moretti L.
| 13. Yeo I.
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22. Penisini W.
| 20. Edgar J.
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| Substitutes |
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11. Tuilagi K.
| 14. Scott B.
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14. Walker D.
| 15. Sorensen S.
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16. Brown T.
| 16. Henry L.
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17. Edwards H.
| 17. Phillips B.
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18. Papalii J.
| 18. Tago I.
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19. Mataele T.
| 19. Cole J.
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| Coaches |
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. Ryles J.
| . Cleary I.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (12 - 6)
- 3', Moses M. (Try),
- 5', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
- 13', Williams J. (Try),
- 14', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
- 17', McLean C. (Try),
- 18', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Moses M. (Missed Penalty),
- 2nd Half (6 - 18)
- 51', Henry L. (Try),
- 52', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 57', Martin L. (Try),
- 57', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 67', Jenkins T. (Try),
- 69', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Williams J. (Try),
- 79', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 0.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Parramatta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Penrith is the undeniable favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 311:432. (average 15.6:21.6).Including home matches between the teams, Parramatta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 133:172. (average 16.6:21.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 28.03.26 | Penrith Panthers - Parramatta Eels | 48:20 | | 13.07.25 | Parramatta Eels - Penrith Panthers | 10:32 | | 01.06.25 | Penrith Panthers - Parramatta Eels | 18:10 | | 09.08.24 | Parramatta Eels - Penrith Panthers | 34:36 | | 15.03.24 | Penrith Panthers - Parramatta Eels | 26:18 | | 24.08.23 | Penrith Panthers - Parramatta Eels | 18:32 | | 23.03.23 | Parramatta Eels - Penrith Panthers | 17:16 OT |
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