Match Info

NRL - Round 10

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday

Location: CommBank Stadium (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Australia	Fox League, NRL
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1


	Parramatta Eels		Dolphins

	1	X	2
	1.77	23	2.15
	1.73	21	2.2
	1.8	22	2.15
	1.77	20.12	2.17	Watch
	1.75	18	2.2
	1.72	22	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 (1.76)	21.02 ↑ (20.5)	2.15 (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parramatta Eels
52.6%

Draw
4.4%

Dolphins
43%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.5%

4.5%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

3.8%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parramatta Eels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Dolphins have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parramatta Eels than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Parramatta Eels that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dolphins could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Parramatta Eels - Dolphins Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:25

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iongi I.	1. Tabuai-Fidow H.
2. Simonsson B.	2. Isaako J.
3. Penisini W.	3. Averillo J.
4. Russell S.	4. Farnworth H.
5. Addo-Carr J.	5. Bostock J.
6. Brown D.	6. Nikorima K.
7. Moses M. (C)	7. Katoa I.
8. Williams J.	8. Molo F.
9. Smith R.	9. Donoghoe K.
10. Paulo J.	10. Kaufusi F.
11. Guymer C.	11. Finefeuiaki K.
12. Kautoga K.	13. Gilbert T. (C)
13. Hopgood J.	14. Stone R.
Substitutes
14. Walker D.	12. Lemuelu C.
15. Moretti L.	15. Nicholls M.
16. Samrani J.	16. Kerr J.
17. Doorey M.	18. Graham H.
Coaches
. Ryles J.	. Woolf K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (6 - 6)
12', Bostock J. (Try),
14', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
28', Simonsson B. (Try),
29', Russell S. (Missed Conversion),
40', Russell S. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 14)
43', Doorey M. (Try),
44', Russell S. (Conversion Goal),
61', Lemuelu C. (Try),
62', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
65', Farnworth H. (Try),
66', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
71', Isaako J. (Penalty Goal),
73', Brown D. (Try),
75', Russell S. (Missed Conversion),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 14).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Parramatta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Parramatta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 64:64. (average 32:32).

Including home match between the teams, Parramatta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:44.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Parramatta Eels
Australian NRL
02.05.25	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Parramatta Eels	28:18 ✺
21.04.25	Wests Tigers - Parramatta Eels	22:38 ✺
12.04.25	Parramatta Eels - Canberra Raiders	12:50 ✺
05.04.25	Parramatta Eels - St. George Illawarra Dragons	23:22 OT ✺
30.03.25	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Parramatta Eels	26:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLWL
- Dolphins NRL
Australian NRL
02.05.25	Sydney Roosters - Dolphins	36:26 ✺
27.04.25	Canberra Raiders - Dolphins	40:28 ✺
18.04.25	Dolphins - Melbourne Storm	42:22 ✺
10.04.25	Dolphins - Penrith Panthers	30:12 ✺
05.04.25	Gold Coast Titans - Dolphins	10:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
19.04.24	Parramatta Eels - Dolphins	16:44
24.06.23	Dolphins - Parramatta Eels	20:48

Parramatta Eels - Dolphins: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide