The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sydney Roosters 58.5%
Draw 5.3%
Dolphins 36.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.5%
3.8%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
4.3%
40%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney Roosters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Roosters than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Sydney Roosters - Dolphins Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:22
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tedesco J. (C)
1. Tabuai-Fidow H.
2. Smith B.
2. Isaako J.
3. Savala H.
3. Bostock J.
4. Toia R.
4. Farnworth H.
5. Nawaqanitawase M.
5. Cobbo S.
6. Cherry-Evans D.
6. Nikorima K.
7. Walker S.
7. Katoa I. (C)
8. Whyte N.
8. Flegler T.
9. Robson R.
9. Marshall-King J.
10. Collins L.
10. Gilbert T.
11. Foketi S.
11. Plath M.
12. Wong S.
12. Finefeuiaki K.
13. Butcher N.
13. Knowles M.
Substitutes
14. Watson C.
14. Stone R.
15. Leniu S.
15. Molo F.
16. Butcher E.
16. Kaufusi F.
17. Losalu T.
17. Pouniu B.
18. Ramsey C.
18. Schneider B.
19. Talau T.
22. Donoghoe K.
Coaches
. Robinson T.
. Woolf K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (6 - 20)
05:47, Toia R. (Try),
07:10, Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
20:31, Farnworth H. (Try),
22:07, Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
29:15, Cobbo S. (Try),
30:43, Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
33:56, Cobbo S. (Try),
35:25, Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
38:29, Plath M. (Try),
39:57, Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (6 - 6)
47:37, Marshall-King J. (Try),
49:06, Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
68:35, Foketi S. (Try),
69:44, Savala H. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
Sydney is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Dolphins is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Sydney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Sydney is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 180:134. (average 36:26.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 66:40. (average 33:20).