Match Info
NRL - Round 20Date: 16 July 2026, ThursdayLocation: CommBank Stadium (Sydney)Referee: Smith T. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV |
Canada | fubo Sports Network |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
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Penrith Panthers |
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Brisbane Broncos |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.2 |
34 |
4.5 |
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 |
1.22 |
22 |
4.8 |
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 |
1.18 |
24.81 |
5.33 |
Watch |
 |
1.21 |
23 |
4.54 |
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 |
1.16 |
29 |
5.6 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.19 ↑ (1.18) |
26.56 ↓ (27.67) |
4.95 ↓ (5.27) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 43.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)
- The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Penrith Panthers 77.8% | Draw 3.5% | Brisbane Broncos 18.7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Penrith Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Brisbane Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:15 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Edwards D.
| 1. Walsh R.
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2. Jenkins T.
| 2. Karapani J.
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3. Alamoti P.
| 3. Staggs K.
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4. McLean C.
| 4. Shibasaki G.
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5. To'o B.
| 5. Mariner D.
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6. Talagi B.
| 6. Mam E.
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7. Cleary N. (C)
| 7. Reynolds A. (C)
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8. Leota M.
| 8. Willison X.
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9. Lussick F.
| 9. Paix C.
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10. Smith L.
| 10. Haas P.
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11. Papali'i I.
| 11. Piakura B.
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12. Martin L.
| 12. Riki J.
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13. Yeo I.
| 13. Carrigan P.
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| Substitutes |
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14. Cole J.
| 14. Hunt B.
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15. Sorensen S.
| 15. Talty B.
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16. Henry L.
| 16. Riki P.
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17. Phillips B.
| 17. Anderson G.
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18. Tago I.
| 18. Semu V.
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19. Scott B.
| 19. Perham H.
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| Coaches |
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. Cleary I.
| . Maguire M.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (12 - 8)
- 4', Riki J. (Try),
- 7', Reynolds A. (Missed Conversion),
- 12', To'o B. (Try),
- 14', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Staggs K. (Try),
- 25', Reynolds A. (Missed Conversion),
- 32', To'o B. (Try),
- 34', Cleary N. (Missed Conversion),
- 38', Cleary N. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 6)
- 68', Karapani J. (Try),
- 69', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 4.Penrith has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).Brisbane is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Recently, Brisbane has had a series of home games. In this match, Penrith is the clear favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 424:326. (average 21.2:16.3).Including home matches between the teams, Penrith won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 220:137. (average 27.5:17.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 06.03.26 | Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers | 0:26 | | 28.09.25 | Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers | 16:14 | | 04.05.25 | Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos | 32:8 | | 05.07.24 | Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers | 6:14 | | 21.03.24 | Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos | 34:12 | | 01.10.23 | Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos | 26:24 | | 18.05.23 | Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers | 4:15 |
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