The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Penrith Panthers 59.9%
Draw 4.5%
South Sydney Rabbitohs 35.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.6%
3.8%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.5%
3.9%
40.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
South Sydney Rabbitohs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Penrith Panthers - South Sydney Rabbitohs Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 44.5 - under (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:20
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Edwards D. (C)
1. Gray J.
2. Jenkins T.
2. Jennings D.
4. Alamoti P.
3. Siegwalt L.
5. To'o B.
4. Wighton J.
6. Talagi B.
5. Kosi E.
7. Cogger J.
6. Walker C. (C)
8. Leota M.
7. Ward A.
9. Lussick F.
8. Tatola T.
10. Henry L.
9. Smith B.
11. Sorensen S.
10. Koloamatangi K.
13. Smith L.
11. Fifita D.
16. Phillips B.
12. Duncan T.
18. Cole J.
13. Hubner L.
Substitutes
3. Tago I.
14. Humphreys J.
14. Scott B.
15. Aitken E.
15. Going K.
16. Le Blanc L.
17. Patea L.
17. Radel J.
19. Fonua S.
18. Dufty M.
20. Clarke Z.
19. Sullivan J.
Coaches
. Cleary I.
. Bennett W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (12 - 10)
3', Edwards D. (Try),
5', Alamoti P. (Conversion Goal),
13', Henry L. (Try),
14', Alamoti P. (Conversion Goal),
25', Kosi E. (Try),
25', Siegwalt L. (Missed Conversion),
40', Jennings D. (Try),
40', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (24 - 4)
49', Jenkins T. (Try),
50', Alamoti P. (Conversion Goal),
58', Jenkins T. (Try),
60', Alamoti P. (Conversion Goal),
68', Phillips B. (Try),
70', Alamoti P. (Conversion Goal),
71', Jenkins T. (Try),
72', Alamoti P. (Conversion Goal),
77', Siegwalt L. (Try),
77', Siegwalt L. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
South Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Penrith is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 476:335. (average 23.8:16.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Penrith won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 283:181. (average 21.8:13.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Penrith Panthers - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.58%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.