Match Info

Super League - Round 19

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: BrewDog Stadium (St Helens)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox League
Canada	fubo Sports Network
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC RED Button, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Sky Go, Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports+
International	Superleague+


	St Helens		Catalans Dragons

	1	X	2
	1.67	21	2.3	Watch
	1.7	18	2.3
	1.64	20.32	2.39	Watch
	1.66	24	2.3	Watch
	1.68	21	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.4)	20.86 ↑ (20.8)	2.32 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Helens
55.5%

Draw
4.4%

Catalans Dragons
40%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.5%

4.5%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

4.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Helens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St Helens's form might have worsened.

Catalans Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Catalans Dragons's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Helens than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Helens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catalans Dragons than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catalans Dragons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

St Helens - Catalans Dragons Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. St Helens will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Catalans will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 - St Helens (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St Helens (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:24

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Welsby J.	1. Staines C.
3. Robertson H.	3. Cotric N.
6. Sailor T.	4. Faataape S.
11. Sironen C.	6. Sexton T.
14. Host J.	7. Dodd L.
22. Shorrocks J.	10. Bousquet J.
23. Burns J.	11. Maria F.
26. Douglas J.	16. Allen J.
28. Davies J.	20. Lipowicz Z.
31. Hastings J. (C)	24. Aispuro-Bichet G.
35. Suluka-Fifita D.	26. Tison U.
40. Cartwright J.	28. Darrelatour L.
41. Campbell J.	33. Rogers-Smith E.
Substitutes
29. Sinclair A.	12. Condon B.
30. Humphreys T.	19. Leeming K.
34. Cole M.	21. Laguerre M.
38. Evans M.	27. Clement M.
42. McGann T.	30. Lis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (6 - 12)
8', Staines C. (Try),
9', Aispuro-Bichet G. (Conversion Goal),
18', Cartwright J. (Try),
19', Hastings J. (Conversion Goal),
30', Cotric N. (Try),
32', Aispuro-Bichet G. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (28 - 6)
42', Campbell J. (Try),
43', Hastings J. (Conversion Goal),
45', Robertson H. (Try),
46', Hastings J. (Conversion Goal),
48', Welsby J. (Try),
50', Hastings J. (Conversion Goal),
52', Cotric N. (Try),
53', Aispuro-Bichet G. (Conversion Goal),
60', Campbell J. (Try),
80+2', Robertson H. (Try),
80+2', Hastings J. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Helens won 5.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Catalans has had a series of home games.

St Helens is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Helens won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 490:252. (average 24.5:12.6).

Including home matches between the teams, St Helens won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 322:97. (average 32.2:9.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Catalans Dragons - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.07%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Helens RLFC
Super League Rugby
12.07.26	St Helens - Toulouse Olympique	0:46 ✺
05.07.26	Wigan Warriors - St Helens	16:14 ✺
27.06.26	Bradford Bulls - St Helens	10:40 ✺
21.06.26	St Helens - Huddersfield Giants	38:6 ✺
11.06.26	St Helens - Warrington Wolves	6:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWWL
- Catalans Dragons
Super League Rugby
11.07.26	Catalans Dragons - Leeds Rhinos	6:28 ✺
04.07.26	Catalans Dragons - Toulouse Olympique	18:60 ✺
25.06.26	Warrington Wolves - Catalans Dragons	18:16 ✺
20.06.26	Catalans Dragons - Bradford Bulls	34:24 ✺
13.06.26	Catalans Dragons - Castleford Tigers	34:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby League
10.04.26	St Helens - Catalans Dragons	36:4
Super League Rugby
28.02.26	Catalans Dragons - St Helens	4:36
15.05.25	St Helens - Catalans Dragons	40:0
29.03.25	Catalans Dragons - St Helens	13:14
31.05.24	St Helens - Catalans Dragons	24:12
06.04.24	Catalans Dragons - St Helens	14:8
06.10.23	Catalans Dragons - St Helens	12:6

St Helens - Catalans Dragons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide