Match Info
NRL - Round 18Date: 4 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium (Sydney)Referee: Smith T. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV |
 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 2 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2 |
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 |
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St. George Illawarra Dragons |
|
Wests Tigers |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.3 |
26 |
1.65 |
|
 |
2.35 |
18 |
1.72 |
|
 |
2.39 |
18.17 |
1.66 |
 Watch |
 |
2.30 |
|
1.62 |
|
 |
2.33 |
20 |
1.66 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.96) |
16.43 ↓
(24.93) |
1.66 ↑
(1.43) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
St. George Illawarra Dragons
39.3% | Draw
5.6% | Wests Tigers
55.2% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:St. George Illawarra Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. George Illawarra Dragons's performance.Wests Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wests Tigers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. George Illawarra Dragons that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wests Tigers than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wests Tigers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.St. George Illawarra Dragons - Wests Tigers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:26 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Gutherson C.
| 1.  Bula J.
|
2. Setu T.
| 2. Turuva S.
|
3.  Feagai M.
| 3. Makasini H.
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4. Holmes V.
| 4. To'a S.
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5. Sloan T.
| 5. Skelton J.
|
6.  Atkinson D.
| 6. Madden J.
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7. Flanagan K.
| 7.  Doueihi A.
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8.  Tonga L.
| 8. May T.
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9. Cook D. (C)
| 9. Koroisau A. (C)
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10. Couchman T.
| 11. Sukkar T.
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11. Egan D.
| 12. Fainu S.
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12. Stewart H.
| 13. Twal A.
|
13. Couchman R.
| 15. Afoa B.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
14. Liddle J.
| 10. Pole F.
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15. Leilua L.
| 14. Lanyon J.
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16. Kerr J.
| 16. Seyfarth A.
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17. Guler E.
| 17. Fainu L.
|
18. Halangahu J.
| 18. Tavana F.
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19. King-Togia L.
| 19. Murray C.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Young D.
| . Marshall B.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (6 - 4)
- 8', Doueihi A. (Try),
- 11', Doueihi A. (Missed Conversion),
- 19', Sloan T. (Try),
- 22', Holmes V. (Missed Conversion),
- 40', Holmes V. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (18 - 6)
- 48', Doueihi A. (Try),
- 49', Madden J. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Holmes V. (Try),
- 70', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
- 71', Holmes V. (Try),
- 73', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
- 76', Feagai M. (Try),
- 77', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 4.St. George Illawarra has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Wests has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Wests may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, St. George Illawarra has had a series of away games.Recently, Wests has had a series of home games. Wests will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 422:391. (average 21.1:19.6).Including home matches between the teams, St. George Illawarra won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 232:221. (average 21.1:20.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 03.05.25 | Wests Tigers - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 34:28 | | 07.06.24 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - Wests Tigers | 56:14 | | 14.04.24 | Wests Tigers - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 12:24 | | 24.02.24 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - Wests Tigers | 34:18 | | 20.07.23 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - Wests Tigers | 18:14 | | 06.05.23 | Wests Tigers - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 18:16 | | 28.08.22 | Wests Tigers - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 22:24 |
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