Match Info
NRL - Round 12Date: 23 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium (Sydney)Referee: Gee A. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
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St. George Illawarra Dragons |
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New Zealand Warriors |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4 |
26 |
1.25 |
|
 |
4 |
22 |
1.3 |
|
 |
4.7 |
27.4 |
1.21 |
 Watch |
 |
4.33 |
34 |
1.2 |
|
 |
4.54 |
23 |
1.21 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.31 ↑
(3.76) |
26.48 ↓
(26.67) |
1.23 ↓
(1.29) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-14)
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
St. George Illawarra Dragons
21.5% | Draw
3.5% | New Zealand Warriors
75% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)New Zealand Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)St. George Illawarra Dragons - New Zealand Warriors Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. New Zealand will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 17:31 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1.  Gutherson C.
| 1. Tuaupiki T.
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2. Setu T.
| 2.  Watene-Zelezniak D.
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4. Holmes V.
| 3. Leiataua A.
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5. Tuipulotu C.
| 5. Khan-Pereira A.
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6.  Atkinson D.
| 6.  Harris-Tavita C.
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7. Flanagan K.
| 7. Martin T.
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8. Tonga L.
| 8. Fisher-Harris J. (C)
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9. Cook D. (C)
| 9. Egan W.
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10. Couchman T.
| 10. Ford J.
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11. Egan D.
| 11.  Halasima L.
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12. Stewart H.
| 12. Laban J.
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13. Couchman R.
| 13. Clark E.
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20. Buchanan H.
| 23. Tuivasa-Sheck R.
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| Substitutes |
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14. Leilua L.
| 14. Healey S.
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15. Guler E.
| 15. Stowers-Smith T.
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16. Kerr J.
| 16. Vaimauga D.
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17. Lawrie B.
| 17. Ieremia-Toeava E.
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18. Sloan T.
| 18. Hanson L.
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19. King-Togia L.
| 21. Fatialofa K.
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| Coaches |
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. Young D.
| . Webster A.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (6 - 14)
- 6', Setu T. (Try),
- 8', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
- 12', Khan-Pereira A. (Try),
- 14', Harris-Tavita C. (Conversion Goal),
- 17', Martin T. (Try),
- 18', Harris-Tavita C. (Missed Conversion),
- 34', Watene-Zelezniak D. (Try),
- 36', Harris-Tavita C. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (6 - 16)
- 41', Martin T. (Try),
- 41', Harris-Tavita C. (Conversion Goal),
- 63', Khan-Pereira A. (Try),
- 64', Harris-Tavita C. (Missed Conversion),
- 65', Tuipulotu C. (Try),
- 67', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
- 72', Watene-Zelezniak D. (Try),
- 74', Harris-Tavita C. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 1.St. George Illawarra is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).New Zealand is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).New Zealand may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, New Zealand is a strong favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 372:345. (average 18.6:17.3).Including home matches between the teams, St. George Illawarra won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 158:153. (average 19.8:19.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 15.08.25 | New Zealand Warriors - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 14:10 | | 10.05.25 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - New Zealand Warriors | 14:15 | | 19.04.24 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - New Zealand Warriors | 30:12 | | 25.08.23 | New Zealand Warriors - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 18:6 | | 23.06.23 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - New Zealand Warriors | 18:48 | | 21.05.22 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - New Zealand Warriors | 24:18 | | 12.03.22 | New Zealand Warriors - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 16:28 |
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