Match Info
NRL - Round 16Date: 19 June 2026, FridayLocation: McDonald Jones Stadium (Newcastle)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5 |
New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2 |
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Newcastle Knights |
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St. George Illawarra Dragons |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Newcastle Knights 73.1% | Draw 4% | St. George Illawarra Dragons 22.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Newcastle Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (+3.2%)Newcastle Knights - St. George Illawarra Dragons Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:19 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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2. Young D.
| 1. Gutherson C.
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3. Gagai D.
| 2. Setu T.
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4. Best B.
| 3. Suli M.
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5. Marzhew G.
| 4. Holmes V.
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6. Sharpe F.
| 5. Feagai M.
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7. Brown D.
| 6. Atkinson D.
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8. Saifiti J. (C)
| 7. Flanagan K.
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9. Crossland P.
| 8. Tonga L.
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10. Mooney T.
| 9. Cook D. (C)
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12. Cant T.
| 10. Couchman T.
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13. Croker M.
| 11. Egan D.
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19. Manuleleua F.
| 12. Stewart H.
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20. Smith S.
| 13. Couchman R.
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| Substitutes |
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14. Graham H.
| 14. Liddle J.
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15. Frizell T.
| 15. Leilua L.
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17. Hopwood C.
| 16. Kerr J.
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18. Hunt F.
| 17. Lawrie B.
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21. Gamble T.
| 18. Guler E.
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22. Schiller J.
| 19. Sloan T.
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| Coaches |
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. Holbrook J.
| . Young D.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (16 - 12)
- 5', Sharpe F. (Try),
- 6', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
- 8', Sharpe F. (Try),
- 9', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
- 24', Holmes V. (Try),
- 25', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
- 32', Sloan T. (Try),
- 33', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
- 38', Smith S. (Penalty Goal),
- 40', Smith S. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (6 - 8)
- 54', Smith S. (Try),
- 55', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', Setu T. (Try),
- 63', Holmes V. (Missed Conversion),
- 71', Egan D. (Try),
- 72', Holmes V. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 17).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 3.Newcastle is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).St. George Illawarra has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Newcastle is seen as the favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 449:407. (average 22.5:20.4).Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 198:168. (average 19.8:16.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 09.05.26 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - Newcastle Knights | 10:44 | | 07.02.26 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - Newcastle Knights | 28:18 | | 30.05.25 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - Newcastle Knights | 20:6 | | 05.04.24 | Newcastle Knights - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 30:10 | | 02.09.23 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - Newcastle Knights | 12:32 | | 17.04.22 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - Newcastle Knights | 21:16 | | 04.04.21 | Newcastle Knights - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 13:22 |
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