Match Info
NRL - Round 17Date: 28 June 2026, SundayLocation: McDonald Jones Stadium (Newcastle)Referee: Gough P. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Australia | Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV |
 France | beIN Sports 3 |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Action |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Newcastle Knights |
|
Wests Tigers |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.35 |
29 |
3.25 |
|
 |
1.42 |
20 |
3.2 |
|
 |
1.36 |
22.41 |
3.41 |
 Watch |
 |
1.4 |
23 |
3 |
|
 |
1.41 |
20 |
3.2 |
|
 |
1.36 |
27 |
3.25 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.44) |
23.57 ↑
(22.93) |
3.22 ↑
(2.97) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Newcastle Knights
67.2% | Draw
3.9% | Wests Tigers
28.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Newcastle Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Wests Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle Knights that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wests Tigers than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wests Tigers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Newcastle Knights - Wests Tigers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:21 
#ad
Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Ponga K.
| 1.  Bula J.
|
2.  Young D.
| 2. Turuva S.
|
3. Gagai D.
| 3.  May T.
|
4. Best B.
| 4. To'a S.
|
5. Marzhew G.
| 5. Skelton J.
|
6. Sharpe F.
| 6. Luai J.
|
7.  Brown D.
| 7.  Doueihi A.
|
8. Saifiti J.
| 8. May T.
|
9. Crossland P.
| 9. Koroisau A.
|
10. Mooney T.
| 11. Sukkar T.
|
11. Lucas D.
| 12. Fainu S.
|
12. McEwen J.
| 13. Seyfarth A.
|
13. Croker M.
| 15. Afoa B.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
15. Frizell T.
| 10. Pole F.
|
16. Hopwood C.
| 14. Lanyon J.
|
17. Cant T.
| 17. Fainu L.
|
18. Hunt F.
| 18. Makasini H.
|
20. Smith S.
| 19. Geyer M.
|
24. Crouch L.
| 22. Tavana F.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Holbrook J.
| . Marshall B.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 6)
- 10', Sukkar T. (Try),
- 12', Doueihi A. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (12 - 0)
- 53', Lucas D. (Try),
- 54', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Best B. (Try),
- 75', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 3.Newcastle is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).In recent matches, Wests has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Wests has had a series of home games. In this match, Newcastle is the team to beat.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 412:416. (average 20.6:20.8).Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 234:184. (average 23.4:18.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 12.04.26 | Wests Tigers - Newcastle Knights | 42:22 | | 13.04.25 | Newcastle Knights - Wests Tigers | 4:20 | | 07.03.25 | Wests Tigers - Newcastle Knights | 8:10 | | 11.08.24 | Newcastle Knights - Wests Tigers | 34:18 | | 11.05.24 | Wests Tigers - Newcastle Knights | 14:20 | | 14.07.23 | Newcastle Knights - Wests Tigers | 34:18 | | 12.03.23 | Wests Tigers - Newcastle Knights | 12:14 |
|
100% bonus on 1st bet up to €200 in free bet
