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Current Win Probability
Sydney Roosters 61.6%
Draw 4.4%
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 33.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
71.4%
3.4%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.5%
3.5%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney Roosters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney Roosters's form might have worsened.
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Roosters than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney Roosters, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sydney Roosters - Canterbury Bankstown Bulldogs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:19
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
2. Smith B.
1. Tracey C.
3. Savala H.
2. Kiraz J.
4. Toia R.
3. Burton M.
5. Nawaqanitawase M.
4. Tuala E.
6. Cherry-Evans D. (C)
5. Rinakama J.
7. Walker S.
6. Crichton S. (C)
8. Whyte N.
7. Galvin L.
9. Robson R.
8. King M.
11. Foketi S.
9. Hayward B.
12. Wong S.
10. Thompson L.
13. Radley V.
11. Kikau V.
16. Butcher N.
12. Preston J.
18. Ramsey C.
13. Salmon J.
Substitutes
10. Leniu S.
14. Mann K.
14. Watson C.
15. Curran J.
15. Collins L.
16. Hayes H.
17. Butcher E.
17. Tupouniua S.
19. Talau T.
19. Xerri B.
20. Bassingthwaighte R.
20. Turpin J.
Coaches
. Robinson T.
. Ciraldo C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (8 - 2)
7', Crichton S. (Penalty Goal),
14', Smith B. (Try),
15', Walker S. (Missed Conversion),
26', Wong S. (Try),
28', Walker S. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (12 - 16)
45', Kiraz J. (Try),
47', Crichton S. (Conversion Goal),
52', Galvin L. (Try),
53', Crichton S. (Conversion Goal),
56', Kiraz J. (Try),
59', Crichton S. (Missed Conversion),
67', Smith B. (Try),
69', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
70', Foketi S. (Try),
71', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
77', Walker S. (Missed Penalty),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 3.
Sydney is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Canterbury-Bankstown is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Canterbury-Bankstown may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Sydney could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 523:332. (average 26.2:16.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 275:156. (average 30.6:17.3).
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Smith B. 
Kiraz J. 
Rinakama J. 
Walker S. 
Crichton S. (C) 
Hayward B. 
Tupouniua S. 
Ciraldo C. 
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