The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newcastle Knights 28%
Draw 4.4%
Sydney Roosters 67.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.4%
3.7%
53.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
4.1%
48.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Knights's form might have worsened.
Sydney Roosters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sydney Roosters's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (+19.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Knights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Roosters than the current prediction. (-19.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sydney Roosters, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Newcastle Knights - Sydney Roosters Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:27
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
2. Young D.
1. Tedesco J. (C)
3. Hunt F.
2. Tupou D.
4. Best B.
3. Smith B.
5. Marzhew G.
4. Toia R.
6. Sharpe F.
5. Nawaqanitawase M.
7. Brown D.
6. Cherry-Evans D.
9. Crossland P. (C)
7. Walker S.
10. Mooney T.
8. Whyte N.
11. Lucas D.
9. Robson R.
12. Manuleleua F.
10. Leniu S.
13. Croker M.
11. Butcher N.
14. Smith S.
12. Wong S.
15. Hopwood C.
13. Radley V.
Substitutes
8. Frizell T.
14. Savala H.
17. Cant T.
15. Foketi S.
18. Graham H.
16. Butcher E.
19. Jones B.
17. Watson C.
20. McCarthy K.
18. Ramsey C.
21. Salesa-Leaumoana E.
19. Losalu T.
Coaches
. Holbrook J.
. Robinson T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (10 - 6)
15', Tedesco J. (Try),
17', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
23', Manuleleua F. (Try),
24', Smith S. (Missed Conversion),
29', Croker M. (Try),
30', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (12 - 17)
44', Tedesco J. (Try),
45', Walker S. (Missed Conversion),
48', Young D. (Try),
50', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
59', Tedesco J. (Try),
60', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
69', Smith B. (Try),
70', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
72', Best B. (Try),
74', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
78', Cherry-Evans D. (Drop Goal),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
Newcastle has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sydney is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Sydney will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 304:541. (average 15.2:27.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 158:236. (average 15.8:23.6).
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Young D. 
Tedesco J. (C) 
Tupou D. 
Brown D. 
Leniu S. 
Wong S. 
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