Match Info
NRL - Round 23Date: 8 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports+ |
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 |
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 |
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Dolphins |
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Brisbane Broncos |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.37 |
26 |
3.2 |
|
 |
1.38 |
18 |
3.3 |
|
 |
1.39 |
24.75 |
3.16 |
 Watch |
 |
1.41 |
20 |
3.12 |
|
 |
1.36 |
24 |
3.25 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.54) |
22.55 ↓
(24.59) |
3.21 ↑
(2.61) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dolphins
67% | Draw
4.1% | Brisbane Broncos
28.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dolphins's performance.Brisbane Broncos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brisbane Broncos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dolphins that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brisbane Broncos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Dolphins - Brisbane Broncos Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Dolphins will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:22 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Tabuai-Fidow H.
| 1.  Walsh R.
|
2.  Isaako J.
| 2. Karapani J.
|
3. Bostock J.
| 3.  Staggs K.
|
4.  Farnworth H.
| 4. Mariner D.
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5. Cobbo S.
| 5. Anderson G.
|
6. Nikorima K.
| 6. Mam E.
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7. Katoa I. (C)
| 7. Duffy T.
|
8. Flegler T.
| 8. Willison X.
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9. Marshall-King J.
| 9. Walters B.
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10. Molo F.
| 10. Haas P.
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11. Lemuelu C.
| 11. Hunt J.
|
12. Finefeuiaki K.
| 12. Riki J.
|
13. Knowles M.
| 13. Carrigan P. (C)
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
14.  Donoghoe K.
| 14. Hunt B.
|
15. Plath M.
| 15. Semu V.
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16. Gilbert T.
| 16. Talty B.
|
17. Kaufusi F.
| 17. Shibasaki G.
|
18. Schneider B.
| 18. Gosiewski J.
|
20. Pouniu B.
| 20. Mozer B.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Woolf K.
| . Maguire M.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (24 - 30)
- 4', Mam E. (Try),
- 5', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
- 7', Mam E. (Try),
- 9', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
- 14', Mariner D. (Try),
- 15', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Willison X. (Try),
- 23', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
- 25', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
- 26', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 28', Lemuelu C. (Try),
- 29', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 34', Isaako J. (Try),
- 35', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 36', Mam E. (Try),
- 38', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Farnworth H. (Try),
- 40', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (16 - 2)
- 51', Lemuelu C. (Try),
- 53', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', Walsh R. (Penalty Goal),
- 68', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
- 70', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 72', Cobbo S. (Try),
- 73', Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 15).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dolphins won 1.Dolphins has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).Brisbane's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Dolphins is considered a favorite.We predict that Dolphins will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Dolphins won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 122:142. (average 20.3:23.7).Including home matches between the teams, Dolphins won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 52:26. (average 26:13).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 27.03.26 | Brisbane Broncos - Dolphins | 26:12 | | 16.08.25 | Brisbane Broncos - Dolphins | 38:28 | | 28.03.25 | Dolphins - Brisbane Broncos | 12:20 | | 31.08.24 | Dolphins - Brisbane Broncos | 40:6 | | 12.04.24 | Brisbane Broncos - Dolphins | 28:14 | | 01.07.23 | Brisbane Broncos - Dolphins | 24:16 |
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