Match Info
Super League - Round 5Date: 21 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Halliwell Jones Stadium (Warrington)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox League |
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, BBC Two, Sky Go, Sky Sports+, Superleague+ |
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Warrington Wolves |
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Castleford Tigers |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-19)
- The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Warrington Wolves
85.6% | Draw
2.8% | Castleford Tigers
11.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Warrington Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Castleford Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Warrington Wolves - Castleford Tigers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:16 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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2.  Thewlis J.
| 2.  Valemei S.
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3.  King T.
| 3.  Cini Z.
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4. Hopoate A.
| 4. McIntosh D.
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5. Ashton M.
| 5. Ravalawa M.
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6. Williams G.
| 6. Asi D.
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8. Yates L.
| 7. Weaver T.
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9. Walker D.
| 10. Lawler G.
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12. Stone S.
| 11. Lane J.
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13. Currie B.
| 13. Stimson J.
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16. Byrne L.
| 14. Greacen B.
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18. Irwin E.
| 15. Ashworth J.
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26.  Smith J.
| 22. Qareqare J.
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34. Tanginoa K.
| 32. Hirst G.
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| Substitutes |
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10. Harrison J.
| 8. Atoni R.
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17. Crowther J.
| 20. Doolan A.
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21. Thomas L.
| 24. Windley J.
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22. Philbin J.
| 25. Hall S.
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35. Webster L.
| 30. Beckett J.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (32 - 6)
- 3', Irwin E. (Penalty Goal),
- 7', Ashton M. (Try),
- 11', Irwin E. (Penalty Goal),
- 14', Ashton M. (Try),
- 15', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Currie B. (Try),
- 20', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
- 24', Valemei S. (Try),
- 25', Weaver T. (Conversion Goal),
- 28', Tanginoa K. (Try),
- 30', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
- 35', Tanginoa K. (Try),
- 36', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (40 - 0)
- 43', Ashton M. (Try),
- 44', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
- 46', Hopoate A. (Try),
- 47', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
- 48', Currie B. (Try),
- 49', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
- 53', Tanginoa K. (Try),
- 54', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
- 63', Stone S. (Try),
- 64', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Harrison J. (Try),
- 74', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
- 76', Ashton M. (Try),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warrington won 4.Warrington is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).Castleford has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Castleford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Warrington is the undeniable favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Warrington won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 509:334. (average 25.5:16.7).Including home matches between the teams, Warrington won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 265:119. (average 29.4:13.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super League Rugby | | | 20.07.25 | Castleford Tigers - Warrington Wolves | 20:14 | | 30.05.25 | Warrington Wolves - Castleford Tigers | 34:24 | | 23.08.24 | Castleford Tigers - Warrington Wolves | 6:28 | | 01.03.24 | Warrington Wolves - Castleford Tigers | 30:8 | | 02.09.23 | Warrington Wolves - Castleford Tigers | 66:12 | | 23.06.23 | Castleford Tigers - Warrington Wolves | 23:14 | | 24.03.23 | Castleford Tigers - Warrington Wolves | 0:38 |
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