Match Info

Date: 14 November 2020, Saturday


	Agen		Toulon

	1	X	2
	3	23	1.4
	3.5	23	1.3
	3.4	26	1.32
	3.4	23	1.28
	3.4	21	1.33
	3.55	23	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.05)	23.17 ↑ (22.17)	1.33 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Agen
27.1%

Draw
4%

Toulon
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

4.1%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

4.2%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agen than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Agen - Toulon Predictions

Users Predictions: Toulon will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:28

#ad

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation to Pro D2 and 7).

Agen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Toulon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Toulon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Toulon is a favorite.

Recent matches Toulon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Last 10 head-to-head matches Agen won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 166-341.

Including matches at home between the teams Agen won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 114-158.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SU Agen Lot-et-Garonne
French Top 14
08.11.20	Agen - Lyon	16:19 ✺
31.10.20	Bordeaux Bègles - Agen	71:5 ✺
24.10.20	Agen - Aviron Bayonnais	15:26 ✺
17.10.20	Montpellier - Agen	42:13 ✺
10.10.20	Agen - Stade Français	3:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- RC Toulonnais
French Top 14
06.11.20	Toulon - Brive	35:19 ✺
23.10.20	Toulon - Castres	19:6 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
16.10.20	Bristol Rugby - Toulon	32:19 ✺
French Top 14
10.10.20	Toulon - Montpellier	25:21 ✺
04.10.20	Toulouse - Toulon	39:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
24.08.19	Agen - Toulon	25:44
16.02.19	Agen - Toulon	19:10
22.09.18	Toulon - Agen	33:3
10.03.18	Toulon - Agen	54:5
04.11.17	Agen - Toulon	26:24
21.05.16	Agen - Toulon	13:52
05.12.15	Toulon - Agen	53:23

Upcoming Matches