Match Info

Date: 16 October 2020, Friday


	Bristol Rugby		Toulon

	1	X	2
	1.91	21	1.91
	2	21	1.87
	2.03	19	1.73
	2.1	19	1.91
	2.16	23	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.57)	20.6 ↓ (22.2)	1.85 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rugby
45.4%

Draw
4.5%

Toulon
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

4.1%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

3.9%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bristol Rugby's form might have worsened.

Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rugby than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol Rugby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toulon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bristol Rugby - Toulon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:23

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Recently Toulon have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Our prediction for today's Bristol to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
10.10.20	Wasps RFC - Bristol Rugby	47:24 ✺
04.10.20	London Irish - Bristol Rugby	7:36 ✺
30.09.20	Bristol Rugby - Leicester Tigers	40:3 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
25.09.20	Bristol Rugby - Bordeaux Bègles	37:20 OT ✺
18.09.20	Bristol Rugby - Newport Gwent Dragons	56:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWWW
- RC Toulonnais
French Top 14
10.10.20	Toulon - Montpellier	25:21 ✺
04.10.20	Toulouse - Toulon	39:19 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
26.09.20	Toulon - Leicester Tigers	34:19 ✺
19.09.20	Toulon - Llanelli Scarlets	11:6 ✺
French Top 14
13.09.20	Toulon - Lyon	36:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWW

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