Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Optus Stadium (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 2
Australia	Nine, Stan Sport
Colombia	ESPN 2
France	CANAL+ Sport
Japan	J sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1
Peru	ESPN 2


	Australia		South Africa

	1	X	2
	3.1	23	1.4
	2.95	25	1.41
	2.88	21	1.4	Watch
	2.8	23	1.38
	3.23	21	1.37	Watch
	2.95	25	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.87)	23 ↓ (28.5)	1.4 ↑ (1.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Australia
30.6%

Draw
4%

South Africa
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

3.2%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Australia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Australia's performance.

South Africa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Africa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Australia - South Africa Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. South Africa will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:33

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bell A.	1. Wessels J.
2. Paenga-Amosa B.	2. Grobbelaar J.
3. Alaalatoa A.	3. Porthen Z.
4. Canham J.	4. Etzebeth E.
5. Williams J.	5. Mostert F.
6. Valetini R.	6. de Villiers P.
7. Mcreight F.	7. Louw E.
8. Wilson H.	8. van Staden M.
9. Lonergan R.	9. Jantjies H.
10. Donaldson B.	10. Pollard H.
11. Sua'ali'i J.	11. Hooker E.
12. Paisami H.	12. Esterhuizen A.
13. Ikitau L.	13. Moodie C.
14. Jorgensen M.	14. van der Merwe E.
15. Wright T.	15. Fassi A.
Substitutes
16. Pollard B.	16. Marx M.
17. Ross A.	17. Nche O.
18. Tupou T.	18. Louw W.
19. Salakaia-Loto L.	19. de Jager L.
20. Hooper T.	20. Wiese J.
21. Tizzano C.	21. van den Berg M.
22. McDermott T.	22. Feinberg-Mngomezulu S.
23. Potter H.	23. Horn Q.
Coaches
. Kiss L.	. Erasmus J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (24 - 17)
4', Pollard H. (Penalty Goal),
7', Lonergan R. (Penalty Goal),
10', Grobbelaar J. (Try),
11', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),
24', Ikitau L. (Try),
25', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
27', Ikitau L. (Try),
28', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
30', van der Merwe E. (Try),
31', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),
39', Donaldson B. (Try),
40', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (18 - 21)
48', Lonergan R. (Penalty Goal),
54', Lonergan R. (Penalty Goal),
60', Wilson H. (Try),
61', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
64', Jorgensen M. (Try),
66', (Missed Conversion),
69', Wilson H. 🟨,
71', Lonergan R. 🟨,
72', Sua'ali'i J. 🟨,
74', van den Berg M. (Try),
74', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
76', Paisami H. 🟨,
80', Nche O. (Try),
80', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Australia won 1.

South Africa shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to South Africa for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Australia has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 383:502 (averaging 19.2:25.1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Australia rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
05.09.26	Argentina - Australia	28:28 ✺
29.08.26	Argentina - Australia	21:27 ✺
15.08.26	Australia - Japan	56:17 ✺
08.08.26	Japan - Australia	32:35 ✺
Nations Championship Rugby
18.07.26	Australia - Italy	57:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWWW
- South Africa rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
12.09.26	South Africa - New Zealand	43:28 ✺
05.09.26	South Africa - New Zealand	29:24 ✺
29.08.26	South Africa - New Zealand	33:26 ✺
22.08.26	South Africa - New Zealand	16:33 ✺
08.08.26	Argentina - South Africa	10:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Rugby Championship
23.08.25	South Africa - Australia	30:22
16.08.25	South Africa - Australia	22:38
17.08.24	Australia - South Africa	12:30
10.08.24	Australia - South Africa	7:33
08.07.23	South Africa - Australia	43:12
03.09.22	Australia - South Africa	8:24
27.08.22	Australia - South Africa	25:17

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