Match Info
Top 14 - Round 11Date: 29 November 2025, SaturdayLocation: Stade Jean-Dauger (Bayonne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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France | CANAL+ France |
United-kingdom | FloSports app |
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Aviron Bayonnais |
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Lyon |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.17 |
34 |
5 |
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 |
1.21 |
29 |
4.4 |
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 |
1.15 |
25.06 |
6.41 |
Watch |
 |
1.18 |
23 |
4.62 |
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 |
1.16 |
41 |
5.33 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.17 ↑ (1.15) |
30.41 ↑ (25.06) |
5.15 ↓ (6.41) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Aviron Bayonnais 79% | Draw 3% | Lyon 18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Aviron Bayonnais - Lyon Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Bayonne will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:21 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Bordelai A.
| 1. Kaabeche H.
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2. Bosch F.
| 2. Marchand G.
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3. Setiano E.
| 3. Ainsley J.
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4. Iturria A.
| 4. William T.
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5. Paulos L.
| 5. Geraci K.
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6. Bruni R.
| 6. Cretin D.
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7. Capilla E.
| 7. Saghinadze B.
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8. Leota R.
| 8. Simmonds S.
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9. Germain B.
| 9. Couilloud B.
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10. Segonds J.
| 10. Berdeu L.
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11. Erbinartegaray A.
| 11. Ioane M.
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12. Mori F.
| 12. Millet T.
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13. Maqala S.
| 13. Parisien A.
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14. Spring T.
| 14. Wainiqolo J.
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15. Tiberghien C.
| 15. Tchaptchet A.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Martocq G.
| 16. Sarragallet M.
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17. Calles I.
| 17. Moukoro T.
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18. Johnson E.
| 18. Roux J.
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19. Marchesin R.
| 19. Allen L.
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20. Martin L.
| 20. Gonzalez E.
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21. Jantjies H.
| 21. Meliande M.
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22. Orabe Y.
| 22. Dumortier E.
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23. Cotet P.
| 23. Aptsiauri I.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (13 - 10)
- 2', Berdeu L. (Penalty Goal),
- 6', Ioane M. (Try),
- 7', Berdeu L. (Conversion Goal),
- 12', Bosch F. (Try),
- 14', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
- 27', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 40', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (9 - 10)
- 41', Bruni R. 🟨,
- 49', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 53', Berdeu L. (Penalty Goal),
- 56', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 64', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 74', Sarragallet M. 🟨,
- 76', Cotet P. 🟨,
- 77', Simmonds S. (Try),
- 78', Berdeu L. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayonne won 3.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. In this match, Bayonne is the undisputed favorite.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bayonne won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 351:489. (average 21.9:30.6).Including home matches between the teams, Bayonne won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 162:118. (average 23.1:16.9).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| French Top 14 | | | 29.03.25 | Aviron Bayonnais - Lyon | 28:14 | | 26.10.24 | Lyon - Aviron Bayonnais | 38:49 | | 02.03.24 | Aviron Bayonnais - Lyon | 39:10 | | 25.11.23 | Lyon - Aviron Bayonnais | 42:29 | | 28.05.23 | Lyon - Aviron Bayonnais | 53:19 | | 03.12.22 | Aviron Bayonnais - Lyon | 19:7 | | 06.03.21 | Aviron Bayonnais - Lyon | 20:28 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;