Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIERSHIP RUGBY - ROUND 17

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Recreation Ground (Bath)

Referee: Barnes W. (Gbr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	Sportsnet


	Bath		London Irish

	1	X	2
	1.53	21	2.63
	1.62	23	2.38
	1.53	23	2.5
	1.59	26	2.46	Watch
	1.53	22	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.61)	23 ↑ (21.67)	2.5 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath
59.1%

Draw
4%

London Irish
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

4.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

4.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

London Irish has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for London Irish than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Bath - London Irish Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:23

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bath won 2.

Bath is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

London Irish is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bath could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently London Irish have a series of home games.

Bath will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Bath won 14 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 599-390.

Including matches at home between the teams Bath won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 291-142.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
27.01.23	Sale Sharks - Bath	30:27 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
20.01.23	Glasgow Warriors - Bath	19:19 ✺
15.01.23	Bath - Toulon	23:35 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
04.01.23	London Irish - Bath	26:7 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
31.12.22	Bath - Newcastle Red Bulls	24:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTLLW
- London Irish
English Premiership Rugby Cup
10.02.23	London Irish - Northampton Saints	30:18 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
29.01.23	London Irish - Harlequins	42:24 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
22.01.23	Montpellier - London Irish	21:21 ✺
15.01.23	London Irish - Stormers	14:28 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
08.01.23	London Irish - Bristol Rugby	23:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby Cup
04.01.23	London Irish - Bath	26:7
English Premiership Rugby
01.10.22	London Irish - Bath	47:38
21.05.22	Bath - London Irish	27:24
03.01.22	London Irish - Bath	Canceled
Challenge Cup Rugby
09.04.21	Bath - London Irish	26:13
English Premiership Rugby
27.03.21	London Irish - Bath	36:33
15.08.20	Bath - London Irish	34:17

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