Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 2

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Comunale di Monigo (Treviso)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, URC


	Benetton Treviso		Connacht

	1	X	2
	1.8	21	2.1
	1.75	22	2.11
	1.76	19.91	2.16	Watch
	1.71	20	2.05
	1.73	20	2.1
	1.75	22	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.56)	20.82 ↑ (19.85)	2.11 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Benetton Treviso
52.2%

Draw
4.4%

Connacht
43.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.3%

4.7%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benetton Treviso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benetton Treviso's form might have worsened.

Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Connacht's recent form is better than expected.

Benetton Treviso - Connacht Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:23

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 17)
2nd Half (7 - 5)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benetton won 3.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Benetton has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 353:569 (averaging 17.7:28.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Benetton against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 218:195 goals (averaging 21.8:19.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
14	Connacht	3	1	0	2	56:84	5
15	Benetton	3	0	1	2	64:68	5

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Connacht: 1.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benetton Treviso rugby
United Rugby Championship
25.09.26	Benetton Treviso - Newport Gwent Dragons	19:19 ✺
16.05.26	Blue Bulls - Benetton Treviso	45:19 ✺
09.05.26	Sharks - Benetton Treviso	46:7 ✺
25.04.26	Benetton Treviso - Leinster	29:26 ✺
18.04.26	Benetton Treviso - Munster	15:45 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLLWL
- Connacht Rugby
United Rugby Championship
25.09.26	Connacht - Stormers	15:29 ✺
29.05.26	Glasgow Warriors - Connacht	33:21 ✺
15.05.26	Edinburgh - Connacht	5:26 ✺
09.05.26	Connacht - Munster	26:7 ✺
25.04.26	Lions - Connacht	33:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
27.09.25	Connacht - Benetton Treviso	26:15
01.03.25	Connacht - Benetton Treviso	38:30
Challenge Cup Rugby
14.04.24	Benetton Treviso - Connacht	39:24
United Rugby Championship
30.03.24	Benetton Treviso - Connacht	18:14
Challenge Cup Rugby
01.04.23	Benetton Treviso - Connacht	41:19
United Rugby Championship
03.12.22	Connacht - Benetton Treviso	38:19
02.04.22	Benetton Treviso - Connacht	17:21

Upcoming Matches