Match Info

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Connacht		Saracens

	1	X	2
	2.38	21	1.62
	2.37	21	1.67
	2.39	18	1.64
	2.26	13	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.44)	18.25 ↓ (18.33)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Connacht
39.4%

Draw
5.1%

Saracens
55.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Saracens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

Saracens may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Saracens holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Connacht has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:142 (averaging 19.7:47.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Connacht against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 17:23 goals.

Outrights of European Rugby Champions Cup for now

Saracens: 3.09% Connacht: 0.52%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Connacht Rugby
United Rugby Championship
09.10.26	Glasgow Warriors - Connacht	36:19 ✺
02.10.26	Benetton Treviso - Connacht	19:22 ✺
25.09.26	Connacht - Stormers	15:29 ✺
29.05.26	Glasgow Warriors - Connacht	33:21 ✺
15.05.26	Edinburgh - Connacht	5:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLW
- Saracens FC
English Premiership Rugby
10.10.26	Saracens - Bristol Rugby	30:7 ✺
04.10.26	Saracens - Sale Sharks	17:21 ✺
27.09.26	Leicester Tigers - Saracens	38:40 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
05.09.26	Saracens - Northampton Saints	96:42 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
06.06.26	Exeter Chiefs - Saracens	32:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
16.12.23	Saracens - Connacht	55:36
Heineken Cup
18.01.14	Saracens - Connacht	64:6
11.10.13	Connacht - Saracens	17:23

Connacht - Saracens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide