Match Info
United Rugby Championship - Round 18Date: 15 May 2026, Friday ๐ Finished Location: Edinburgh Rugby Stadium (Edinburgh) ๐ค๏ธ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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 United Kingdom | 19:45 | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
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Edinburgh |
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Connacht |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.63 |
21 |
1.5 |
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2.7 |
20 |
1.49 |
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2.73 |
18.01 |
1.53 |
 Watch |
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2.8 |
21 |
1.4 |
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2.81 |
18 |
1.51 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.63) |
19.6 ↓
(22.5) |
1.49 ↓
(1.51) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Edinburgh
33.6% | Draw
4.7% | Connacht
61.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Edinburgh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edinburgh than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (+1.1%)Edinburgh - Connacht Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:29 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 19)
- 2nd Half (5 - 7)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh won 4.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. Connacht could have a small edge in this match.In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 459:381. (average 24.2:20.1).Including home matches between the teams, Edinburgh won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 287:194. (average 28.7:19.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Edinburgh | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 111:64 | 19 |
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| 8 | Connacht | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 104:111 | 10 |
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Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now
Edinburgh: 2.38% Connacht: 1.06%
Latest Head to Head
| United Rugby Championship | | | 10.05.25 | Connacht - Edinburgh | 21:31 | | 11.11.23 | Edinburgh - Connacht | 25:22 | | 25.03.23 | Connacht - Edinburgh | 41:26 | | 04.03.22 | Edinburgh - Connacht | 56:8 | | 13.03.21 | Connacht - Edinburgh | 14:15 | | 25.10.20 | Edinburgh - Connacht | 26:37 | | 21.02.20 | Edinburgh - Connacht | 41:14 |
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