Match Info
United Rugby Championship - Round 16Date: 25 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Ellis Park Stadium (Johannesburg)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Ireland | TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Lions |
|
Connacht |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.07 |
41 |
8 |
|
 |
1.09 |
40 |
6.6 |
|
 |
1.12 |
33.19 |
6.75 |
 Watch |
 |
1.1 |
41 |
6.5 |
|
 |
1.14 |
26 |
6.09 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.1 ↓
(1.14) |
36.24 ↑
(32.18) |
6.79 ↑
(6.01) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 65.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lions
83.8% | Draw
2.6% | Connacht
13.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Lions - Connacht Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 29.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 42:25 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (21 - 0)
- 2nd Half (12 - 21)
Preview
Connacht is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Connacht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Lions is the undeniable favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lions won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 118:97. (average 29.5:24.3).Including home matches between the teams, Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 56:40. (average 28:20).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 7 | Lions | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 77:102 | 9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 14 | Connacht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 56:84 | 5 |
|
|
Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now
Connacht: 1.22%
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| United Rugby Championship | | | 26.04.25 | Lions - Connacht | 26:7 | | 23.03.24 | Connacht - Lions | 14:38 | | 28.01.23 | Connacht - Lions | 43:24 | | 23.04.22 | Lions - Connacht | 30:33 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
100% bonus on 1st bet up to €200 in free bet
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
