Match Info

Super Rugby - Round 5

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Eden Park (Auckland)

Referee: Doleman J. (Nzl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports+


	Blues		Moana Pasifika

	1	X	2
	1.02	51	13
	1.03	50	9.8
	1.03	38.93	13.19
	1.03	41	11
	1.03	50	14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 ↑ (1.02)	46.19 ↑ (35.21)	12.2 ↓ (15.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 66.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-27)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blues
90.4%

Draw
2%

Moana Pasifika
7.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

91.3%

2.6%

6.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Moana Pasifika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Blues - Moana Pasifika Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Blues will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -26.5 - Blues (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Blues (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 47:20

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tu'ungafasi O.	1. Tuipulotu T.
2. Eklund K.	2. Sanerivi M.
3. Renata M.	3. Moli S.
4. Beehre J.	4. Savage T.
5. Darry S.	5. Craig A.
6. Segner A.	6. Faiilagi M. (C)
7. Papalii D. (C)	7. Paea S.
8. Sotutu H.	8. Tupou Ta'eiloa S.
9. Nock S.	9. Pulu A.
10. Barrett B.	10. Pellegrini P.
11. Clarke C.	11. Vaihu G.
12. Taele X.	12. Lalomilo L.
13. Lam A.	13. Latu T.
14. Vai C.	14. Ofa T.
15. Forbes C.	15. Havili W.
Substitutes
16. Mullan J.	16. Harada M.
17. Tupaea M.	17. Moli L.
18. Matenga S.	18. Faleiva L.
19. McWhannell L.	19. Poloniati S.
20. Wrampling-Alec M.	20. Ropeti D.
21. Funaki T.	21. Lam J.
22. Ahki P.	22. Laumape N.
23. Sullivan Z.	23. Tuitama T.
Coaches
. Cotter V.	. Umaga T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (15 - 7)
3', Nock S. (Try),
4', Barrett B. (Missed Conversion),
16', Pulu A. 🟥,
17', Nock S. ↓, Funaki T. ↑,
19', Lam A. (Try),
19', Barrett B. (Missed Conversion),
26', Sanerivi M. (Try),
27', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
28', Tu'ungafasi O. (Try),
29', Barrett B. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (28 - 0)
44', Renata M. (Try),
45', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
45', Tuipulotu T. ↓, Pole A. ↑,
48', Eklund K. ↓, Mullan J. ↑,
48', Forbes C. ↓, Sullivan Z. ↑,
48', Moli S. ↓, Faleiva L. ↑,
49', Darry S. (Try),
50', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
52', Renata M. ↓, Matenga S. ↑,
54', Savage T. ↓, Poloniati S. ↑,
54', Lalomilo L. ↓, Laumape N. ↑,
60', Tu'ungafasi O. ↓, Tupaea M. ↑,
62', Beehre J. ↓, Clarke C. ↑,
64', Paea S. ↓, Jones N. ↑,
65', Sanerivi M. ↓, Harada M. ↑,
69', Vai C. (Try),
70', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
70', Taele X. ↓, Ahki P. ↑,
77', Havili W. 🟨,
78', Tupaea M. (Try),
79', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blues won 4.

In this match, Blues is the clear favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Blues won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 213:117. (average 35.5:19.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Blues won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 113:63. (average 37.7:21).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blues Rugby
Super Rugby
07.03.26	Blues - Crusaders	29:13 ✺
28.02.26	Brumbies - Blues	30:27 ✺
21.02.26	Western Force - Blues	32:42 ✺
14.02.26	Blues - Chiefs	15:19 ✺
13.06.25	Crusaders - Blues	21:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLL
- Moana Pasifika
Super Rugby
06.03.26	Chiefs - Moana Pasifika	57:24 ✺
27.02.26	Moana Pasifika - Western Force	19:35 ✺
20.02.26	Hurricanes - Moana Pasifika	52:10 ✺
13.02.26	Fijian Drua - Moana Pasifika	26:40 ✺
31.05.25	Hurricanes - Moana Pasifika	64:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Super Rugby
17.05.25	Moana Pasifika - Blues	27:21
12.04.25	Blues - Moana Pasifika	36:17
29.03.24	Moana Pasifika - Blues	8:47
06.05.23	Blues - Moana Pasifika	31:30
02.04.22	Blues - Moana Pasifika	46:16
29.03.22	Moana Pasifika - Blues	19:32

Blues - Moana Pasifika: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide